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Indian economy is in a mess, tasks for the next Government

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Indian economy is in a mess, tasks for the next Government

As Vaidyanathan notes: Corporate sector which is less than 15% of our National Income gobbles up nearly half of the bank credit…credit needs of unorganized or non-corporate sector are not met by the organized banking sector but by private money lenders etc. The cost of borrowing from private money lenders may be around 70 percent per annum. Small entrepreneurs get credit from money lenders using gold as collateral. FII and FDI account for only 6 to 8 per cent of our investment needs. So,  Vaidyanathan concludes that there is a need for a separate body to develop Non-banking Finance Secor (NBFS). http://bharatkalyan97.blogspot.in/2013/08/how-soniag-upa-killed-indian-economy.html

Gurumurthy notes: Current Account Deficit (CAD) has increased from $2.7 billion in 2004-5 to $89 billion in 2012-13. The primary reason is capital goods imports which increased from $25.5 billion in 2004-5 to $91.5 billion in 2012-13. Index of Industrial Production (IIP) has fallen by 56 % during the same period. Current Account Deficits necessitated huge external borrowing which increased from $108 billion in 2004-5 to $396 billion in 2012-13. CADs also meant that India lost its wealth to other nations by providing increased import orders from countries like China.

Added to these macro-fiscal data, there has been a problem of corruption of unprecedented magnitude topped by the stashing away of corrupted loot through hawala channels and participatory notes mechanisms in tax havens, thus making the wealth not available to the country’s financial system, while benefiting the coffers of tax haven nations.

The level of fiscal and financial management has led to the fall in share market indices and Rupee-Dollar exchange rates have reached abysmal and intolerable levels.

In any democratic system, such mismanagement of the economy should have resulted in the dismissal of the Finance Minister and consequent resignation of the Prime Minister. But, strange is the state in India ruled by a person who is not a constitutionally accountable authority – Sonia Gandhi who heads the National Advisory Council and calls the decisions to profligate spending to the tune of Rs. 6 lakh crores per year on schemes such as MNREGA (Rs. 4 lakh crores) or Food Security (Rs. 2 lakh crores). Such schemes are politically justified as effective means of combating poverty. Little attention is paid while authorizing such state-sponsored doll outs, to the increase in productive capacity by increasing the skill matrix of workers or increasing the wealth of the nation. For example, the MNREGA guaranteed employment scheme could have been linked to a project like Interlinking of the nation’s rivers which could potentially add an additional 9 crores of wet land with assured irrigation with assured additions to the nation’s granary of agricultural production and agricultural employment.

Thus, economics gets turned upside down in Indian polity. Even the opposition parties have failed in their responsibility to safeguard the nation’s financial resources by dancing to the SoniaG economic tunes by endorsing false promises of the MNREGA or Food Security type schemes.

Economics is looked upon as an esoteric discipline which requires smart operators like P. Chidambaram to ‘manage’ the economy. This  results in a serious political failure of the politicians failing to realize what causes the financial mess that the nation finds itself in with the devaluation of the Rupee and with the loss of notional wealth reflected in stock market indices.

As Vaidyanathan notes, the saving grace of the economy is that about 60% of the economy operates through unorganized or non-corporate sectors. The serious structural fault-lines of not establishing reasonable credit-lines to these unorganized or non-corporate sectors is a major failure of the state which has to be rectified by the next Government, which hopefully should be a clear alternative to Sonianomics and SoniaG-led UPA riddled with corruption and stashing away of illicit wealth into tax havens.

The policy imperatives for the next Government after the Lok Sabha polls are thus clear and unambiguous:

1.       Promote projects such as the Interlinking of rivers on a priority basis. Hon’ble SC has not only endorsed the project but also has suggested a monitoring authority to oversee the effective implementation of the project.

2.       Ban Participatory Notes.

3.       To enable restitution of illicit wealth stashed in tax havens, an ordinance should be promulgated to nationalize such wealth, a measure similar to the nationalization of private banks done by Indira Gandhi. The measure is to meet progressively and serve better, the needs of development of the economy in conformity with national policy and objectives enunciated in the Directive Principles of State Policy.

4.       Establish a Special Finance Commission to review the credit needs of unorganized or non-corporate sectors of the economy and to establish a monetary authority to oversee the working of the non-banking finance sector.

5.       Review the present system of opening up the nation’s mines to private sector and review the imperative of a Mines and Minerals Development Regulatory Authority on the lines of Telecom Regulatory Authority.

6.       Disband the Planning Commission by establishing a Special Economic Development Commission to recommend steps for sustainable increase in the wealth of the nation by productive projects, by disbanding unproductive dole outs of the MNREGA or Food Security type schemes.

S. Kalyanaraman



Dealing with tax havens -- Prof. R. Vaidyanathan

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DEALING WITH TAX HAVENS

Introduction
In the last decade there have been major developments in the global financial markets which are of utmost importance to the emerging countries. The global reach of the off shore centers or Tax havens with their instruments and institutions bring to focus the inadequacies of the existing premises and policies of the national regulatory authorities.
This issue of tax Havens has occupied the Centre stage in the discussions on Global financial architecture particularly in the context of the Global meltdown in Financial markets and 9/11 terror attacks. There exist more than seventy tax havens or secretive tax jurisdictions and all of them are facing pressures from G-20 /OECD/IMF/World bank type organizations to become transparent and cooperative in reducing tax evasion and finding tax evaders.
Global campaign against Tax Havens:
US officials had tried to crack down on these off-shore tax abuses at least since 1961, when President Kennedy asked Congress for legislation to drive these Tax havens “out of existence”. [Users of Tax Havens beaten by Political Gale-- New York Times 26th Feb 1961].Currently, the US Government as well its congress are most concerned about these tax havens due to the severe economic crisis faced by the country and also due to pressure from sections of economists etc. to “clean up” the global financial system. There are also concerns regarding the financing of terror groups by some of the tainted money from tax havens. How seriously countries like the US have taken up the issue of under-the-ground economy, which undermines the over-the-ground economy, can be judged by how they are preparing to tackle and tracking this evil money.
The detailed inputs on tax havens have been provided by Internal Revenue Service [IRS] of United States Department of Treasury, in a paper [2008] on “abusive Offshore Tax Avoidance schemes –Talking points“.
We quote from that paper: [1]
Quote:
These are foreign jurisdictions that offer financial secrecy laws in an effort to attract investment from outside their borders. These jurisdictions are commonly referred to as “tax havens”, because in addition to the financial secrecy they provide, they impose little or no tax on income from sources outside these jurisdictions.
It is difficult to quantify the amount of assets being held offshore or the rate at which the industry is growing. But it is estimated that some USD 5 trillion in assets is held ”offshore “in tax havens. One authority estimate that the annual revenue loss to the USA at a minimum of USD 70 billion.
Tax haven service providers and their clients know their actions are veiled from tax authorities by banking and commercial secrecy laws and by lack of tax treaties or tax information exchange agreements. They create paper entities to disguise the real parties to the transactions, and many are willing to create false documents to disguise the real nature of transactions.
At least forty countries aggressively market themselves as tax havens. Some have gone so far as to offer asylum or immunity to criminals who invest sufficient funds. They permit the formation of companies without any proof of identity perhaps even by remote computer connections. Generally though such extremes are found in emerging nations where the stability and security of the financial, legal, political systems is questionable
The largest concentrations of assets are attracted to the stable secure environments of the established tax havens –those that have existed a number of years and enjoy the diplomatic protection of former colonial powers.
Unquote
These tax havens are estimated to number more than 70 but as the IRS discussion reveals around forty of them aggressively market themselves as tax havens. The popular one is Switzerland, besides Luxemburg, Lichtenstein, Channel Islands, and Bahamas etc.
The US President Barrack Hussein Obama is concerned about it, the German Chancellor Angelina Merkel is furious about it and the French President Hollande wants to regulate it. They are the Tax havens or off shore financial centers where the ill-gotten wealth of tax evaders of many countries is hoarded. The leaders of one of the most affected country, India should be taking the lead among emerging markets. These tax havens are now in the news since developed economies like USA, Germany, France etc. wants them to return the ill-gotten wealth from their citizens.
II. Definitions of Tax havens and Illegal Funds
The definitions of Tax havens vary but one can identify many of these jurisdictions by their Characteristics. Raymond Baker, in his pioneering work on the issues of dirty money and renewing the free market system, mentions in detail about the extent of tax havens [2]
Quote:
There are some delightful places where you can situate or purchase your secret companies. In the Caribbean you have Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Belize, Bermuda, the British Virgin Islands, Barbados, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Grenada, Montserrat, the Netherlands Antilles, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and the Turks and Caicos Islands. Or there are Panama and Costa Rica in Central America and Uruguay in South America. If you prefer the Pacific the choices include the Cook Islands, the Marshall Islands, Tonga, the Maldives, the Marianas, Nauru, Niue, Vanuatu, and Western Samoa. Asian and Middle Eastern secrecy jurisdictions include Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, Labuan off the coast of Malaysia, Bahrain, Dubai, and Lebanon.
Africa is getting into the game with Mauritius, the Seychelles, South Africa, Liberia, São Tomé and Principe and the little enclave of Melilla, one of two parts of Spanish Morocco. And, of course, Europe offers some of the most experienced and discreet jurisdictions, including the Isle of Man, the Channel Islands of Jersey, Guernsey, Alderney and Sark, the Åland Islands, the islands of Cyprus, Malta, and Madeira, plus Gibraltar and Monaco at the southern edges of Europe, as well as Switzerland, Austria, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Belgium, Hungary, Ireland, the lovely enclave of Campione d’Italia surrounded by Switzerland, and the Principality of Andorra tucked in between France and Spain. Off the coast of Newfoundland the French territory of Saint Pierre et Miquelon is reportedly a player in this business. This totals 63 jurisdictions providing varying degrees of incorporation concealment and protection from probing eyes.
As you select a place to acquire your anonymous international business corporation and plan your circuitous travels to meet clandestinely with a shady lawyer prepared to provide you with a dummy corporation to serve your unrevealed interest in moving ill-gotten gains with the utmost secrecy, you may actually be disappointed to learn that you don’t need to go there at all. In almost every one of these jurisdictions, the whole thing can generally be done with a phone call or fax or online. Using your search engine, enter “international business companies” or “offshore corporations,” and scores of web sites will pop into view offering instant service, comparing the pros and cons of various jurisdictions and quoting fee schedules for creating your own shadowy company.
I have lost count of the number of anonymous entities existing in these jurisdictions. Several years ago, the British Virgin Islands alone reportedly had 180,000 and the Caribbean as a whole had 500,000. More were being formed at a reported rate of nearly 200,000 a year. The total is certainly well over a million by now, and some experts put the number as high as three million. According to various estimates, half of cross-border trade and investment passes through a tax haven or a secrecy jurisdiction at some point along the way.
Unquote
The other researchers like Nicholas Shaxson suggests that tax haven is a place
“That seeks to attract business by offering politically stable facilities to help people or entities get around the rules, laws and regulations of jurisdictions elsewhere,” [3]
It is similar to the definition offered by Richard Murphy of Tax Justice Network. Shaxon also suggests that More than half of world trade passes, at least on paper, through tax havens. Over half of all banking assets and a third of foreign direct investment by multinationals corporations are routed off shore.
The US Government accountability office reported in 2008 that 83 of the USA’s biggest 100 corporations had subsidiaries in tax havens. Tax justice Network discovered that ninety nine of Europe’s hundred largest companies used off shore subsidiaries. In each country the largest user by far was a bank. IMF estimated in 2010 that the balance sheets of small island financial centers alone added up to $18 trillion –a sum equivalent to about a third of the world GDP [Shaxon—Opp. Cited Page 8]
These tax havens are estimated to number more than 70 but as the IRS [USA] discussion reveals that around forty of them aggressively market themselves as tax havens. The popular one is Switzerland, besides Luxemburg, Lichtenstein, Channel Islands, and Bahamas etc.
III. Estimates of the Illegal Funds
First let us look at the volume of the untaxed black money that is estimated to circulate in and dominate the global financial markets unquestioned and unsupervised. These monies, which have no declared or known owners, are laundered into the official financial markets of the world through the intervention of tax havens, which are countries that levy no tax or levy what is an apology for tax, so as to attract capital to their countries. These tax havens are largely tiny tots in the global geography and demography but they hold the rest of the world to ransom, as explained in detailed later. These are currently called “Secretive Jurisdictions”. Now, let us see the latest estimate of the volume of the black money that traverses through the financial system of the world.
1. IMF estimates global black money – excluding Switzerland, China, Taiwan and Oil exporting economies — at $18 trillion; that still an underestimate, says IMF.
This estimate of responsible financial bodies of the world has shocked the world. The extent of black and unsupervised financial economy in the world is now believed to be almost a third of the global GDP. The study reports that there may be as much as $18 trillion of foreign dollars parked in small international financial centers, which does not include Switzerland. This does not exhaust the world economies, particularly those economies, which generate lots of export and cash surplus. Leading, cash-rich economies such as China, Taiwan and many of the oil-exporting countries do not participate in the IMF’s survey.
Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, an economist for the IMF in Washington, said statistical information on Luxembourg, one of the largest offshore financial centers in Europe, illustrated the extent of the problem. He said: “Luxembourg is one of the few offshore centers that disclose detailed statistics on assets and liabilities held in the financial sector, which makes it invaluable to understand cross-border money flows.”
The latest available IMF figures show portfolio assets held by foreigners in Luxembourg to be worth $1.5 trillion at the end of 2008. But looking at statistics provided by the Luxembourg Government on portfolio investment liabilities for the country – the mirror image of the asset information held by the IMF – there is a big discrepancy. The investment liabilities in Luxembourg were $2.5 trillion – $1 trillion (€726bn) more than the assets reported.
Milesi-Ferretti said: “This is a huge difference, almost 40%, and is unlikely to be entirely accounted for by the fact that some countries do not report their portfolio investments or their destination to the fund.” 
Richard Murphy, the well-known Economist and accountant and founder of Tax Justice Network, commented:
“I admit I can’t resist the temptation to say that some of us have been saying this for a long time. The Tax Justice Network wrote on this in 2005, suggesting there were £11.5 trillion of assets offshore. Time and again this has been attacked by organizations that should have known better and by academics with a right wing axe to grind. But now, like so much else I and others have argued, it is being validated. And the issue itself, once dismissed as inconsequential is now being considered seriously.
The IMF’s $18 trillion number dramatically exceeds previous studies, and even it acknowledges that it probably underestimates the amount of money floating around in tax havens.”[4]
2. Black Money in Swiss Banks
Now let us look at what kind of black money from elsewhere is lodged in secret Swiss bank accounts. Nearly one trillion out of 2.8 trillion of Swiss money –CHR—is black money says KonradHummler –The Chairman of the Swiss private Bankers association. [see August 2009 Swiss review. In the article "Atlantic hurricane hits Switzerland in full force" KonradHummler says: [5]
Quote:
Black day for banking confidentiality.
Switzerland has become a paradise for foreign capital on which tax is not paid. The uproar from foreign governments is understandable.”
These are not the words of a critic of the banks, but of private banker KonradHummler. He says that around 30% or CHF.1000 billion, of the CHF 2800 billion or so of foreign assets in Swiss banks is untaxed “black money”.
Unquote
As to what this means, in August 2009 one Swiss franc –CHR- is nearly same as one US dollar. It means that one trillion US dollars out of the $2.8 trillion kept in Swiss banks is black money.
This money, besides being tax evaded, is entirely unsupervised. It does not need to pontificate on the evil effect of this kind of untaxed, unmonitored and uncontrolled money, to the global financial system. The Western world, which was winking at their rich indulging in this costly luxury for decades, was rudely shaken and woke up to this evil money when the global financial system has been fatally hit to near death, from which it is struggling to recover even now. It is the shock that this evil money had administered to the global financial system that has made the governments in the West to realize the damage that untaxed and unsupervised money can inflict on them and on the world. This has led to a powerful campaign against tax havens and secret banking.
IV. Chasing the black money – the success stories of different countries:
The US President Barrack Hussein Obama is concerned about it, the German Chancellor Angelina Merkel is furious about it and the French President Sarkozy wants to regulate it. They are off shore financial centers where the ill-gotten wealth of tax evaders of many countries is hoarded. But surprisingly the leaders of one of the most affected country, namely India, are not even making any noises about them and doing virtually nothing about them.
These Secretive Jurisdictions are now in the headlines news since developed economies like USA, Germany, France etc wants them to return the ill-gotten wealth from their citizens. This rising noise and the consequently rising public opinion and political anger against the Secretive Jurisdictions in different countries have led the government and secret banks of Switzerland, the most popular secretive jurisdiction, increasingly frightened and this fear has helped the angry and indignant countries to recover their lost wealth as the Swiss Government and the Swiss secret banks have tended to respond to the demands made on them to share information about the tax evaders.
While powerful countries like the USA have used their geo-political power to arm-twist the Swiss banks to part with the information and recover their lost wealth and even coerce them and extract penalties for abetting in the evasion of tax by their citizens, the less powerful ones have sought and aroused empathetic public opinion to force the Swiss banks to part with the information about the wealth illegitimately stashed away by their corrupt rulers and recover the same, as explained later.
US officials have tried to crack down on this off-shore tax abuse at least since 1961, when President Kennedy asked Congress for legislation to drive these Tax havens “out of existence”. [6]. The US Government as well its Congress are most concerned about these tax havens due to the severe economic crisis faced by the country and also due to pressure from sections of economists etc. to “clean up” the global financial system.
There are also concerns regarding the financing of terror groups by some of the tainted money from tax havens. How seriously countries like the US have taken up the issue of under-the-ground economy, which undermines the over-the-ground economy, can be judged by how they are preparing to tackle and tracking this evil money.
In the last few years many countries in Europe as well as USA have taken several steps that included geo-political coercion, financial penalties and bribes, to secure information and get back their illegal funds from abroad. The USA forced and got names of more than US 4000 clients of UBS bank from Switzerland by sheer geo-political force, after persuasion first, threat next and related legal actions later. Similar is the story of France and Germany.
The latter even officially bribed the Lichtenstein Bank officials to get the secret names of Germans and others who had stashed away their black wealth in LGT bank of Lichtenstein. The stories of how different countries go about their agenda to track and take back their wealth illicitly secreted abroad are an interesting exposition for the Indian public.
1. The US coerced and threatened the UBS to give the details
Under pressure from federal authorities, the Swiss bank UBS is closing the hidden offshore accounts of its well-heeled American clients, potentially allowing their secrets to spill into the open. In a step that would have once been unthinkable in the rarefied world of Swiss banking, UBS has agreed to shut about 19,000 accounts that prosecutors suspect have gone undeclared to the US Internal Revenue Service. UBS has agreed to transfer the assets to other banks or other divisions within UBS, or would mail checks directly to the account holders, creating paper trails for federal prosecutors who are examining whether UBS clients used such accounts to evade taxes.
This has forced the clients to face two stark choices, with no third: they can cash their cheques, and thereby own up their secret monies and alert the authorities, or not cash them, effectively losing their money. If they can transfer the money to new banks, a procedure which, in the case of foreign banks, requires depositors of more than $10,000 to report the new account to the Treasury Department, the consequence is the same as in the first case.
Under sheer geo-political pressure and coercive national measures taken by USA, UBS – the largest Banking Institution from Switzerland — has also committed to provide names of top 250 persons who have kept money in offshore account out of 19,000 accounts mentioned earlier, to US authorities. UBS has also originally committed to pay a fine of USD 780 million to settle claims that it has abetted in defrauding US Internal Revenue service.
Now US State department is compelling it to disclose about 52000 American accounts kept with UBS. The original charges are that the UBS off shore accounts have helped Americans to hide USD 18 billion in 19,000 accounts. As of now the settlement is that anyone opening off-shore account has to do it through US regulatory bodies.
Traditionally Swiss authorities used to argue that if there is no criminality under Swiss laws [which never recognized currency violations and tax evasion as offences] the information on offshore accounts could not be divulged. The same position was taken in Bofors case of India. Now that wall has been breached by this US agreement with Swiss authorities. The Swiss banks now recognize tax evasion in any country as amounting to an offence in Switzerland. This breakthrough accomplished by the US has opened up a huge possibility for the rest of the world to access the tax-evaded funds of their countrymen secreted in Swiss banks.
The tough measures of USA have led to the UBS, the world’s largest private bank, also declaring that it would stop offering to American clients offshore private banking services that are not declared to the I.R.S.
The US Inland Revenue prosecutors contend that UBS helped wealthy Americans hide about $18 billion, thereby evading taxes of $300 million each year. UBS is struggling to maintain its centuries-old tradition of Swiss banking secrecy amid mounting legal pressure from the Justice Department to turn over client records. It began handing over some records last summer, causing consternation in the Swiss banking community. The cheques and transfers insisted upon by the US authorities will create paper trails because they move through bank clearing systems. So the US has almost plugged the future secreting of black wealth from the US into Swiss and other secret jurisdictions.
2. Other stories of successful chase by less powerful countries
It has also been successfully demonstrated by countries, which are comparatively less powerful and less influential in geo-politics that monies illegally stashed abroad by their corrupt leaders and businessmen could be recovered.
They had been able to accomplish it by exposing and prosecuting the corrupt leaders of their countries who had stashed and secreted away their national wealth in Swiss banks and making their judiciary to seek the cooperation of Swiss government and banks.
They had also appealed to the conscience of the world generating the empathy of the world. This feat has been accomplished by small and insignificant countries, like those as under [7]
Philippines slogged for 18 years but finally successfully got repatriated the bribe money of its former President Ferdinand Marcos ($ 624 million) held in Swiss Bank accounts.
Between 2001-2004, Peru recovered $180 millions stashed away in tax havens by VladimiroMontesinos.
Between 2005-2006,Nigeria recovered USD 505 million of the SaniAbacha money frozen and forfeited by Swiss authorities.
The Jews got back the money [in 2002] appropriated by these banks from Jews in the 1936-1945 period of Hitler’s dictatorship and mass deaths.
This could be accomplished by these countries by first exposing the corruption and the corrupt leaders of their countries and thereafter by tracking their corrupt wealth into the secret banks.
3. Recent Tunisian Example
Recently, private, but publicly motivated, citizens of Tunisia were able to freeze the ill-gotten wealth of its rulers and their fellow buccaneers in Swiss banks. The following report of Associated Press in Chicago Tribune is very instructive. [8]
Quote:
BERNSwitzerland (AP) — Switzerland on Wednesday immediately froze assets linked to Tunisia’s ousted president and about 40 people in his entourage, as well as funds tied to the president of Ivory Coast, who is refusing to step down.
Swiss President and Foreign Minister MichelineCalmy-Rey announced the new measures targeting Tunisia’s former president, Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, who was ousted Friday by a popular revolt, and Ivory Coast incumbent leader Laurent Gbagbo, who refuses to cede power to the man who beat him in an election.
“The Federal Council wanted to act very quickly,” Calmy-Rey told a news conference in the Swiss capital. Calmy-Rey said she and the other six members of Switzerland’s governing federal council agreed the measures should encourage those two African nations to seek help from Western nations in putting together a possible criminal case against the leaders.
“These measures are aimed at encouraging the two countries to present requests for judicial assistance in a criminal matter,” said Calmy-Rey, whose post is a largely ceremonial one. “Switzerland wants to avoid our financial center being used to hide funds illegally.”
Switzerland is trying hard to shed its reputation as a favored location for “potentate” money because of its banking secrecy rules, and has set up an investigative unit to help track downhidden funds. The assets will be frozen for three years so the nations can prepare criminal cases.
Ben Ali fled Tunisia on Friday amid massive public protests — and Swiss officials estimate Tunisian government officials have put about $620 million into Swiss banks. It was not clear how many assets Gbagbo had in Switzerland. He recently sold a $15 million villa in Geneva and he might have had access to millions in assets belonging to the late former Ivory Coast president Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Swiss officials gave no concrete figure.
The Swiss government was acting under a constitutional measure because a new law affecting the seizure of assets doesn’t go into effect until Feb 1-2011. The government’s reforms over two decades have made it harder to hide money in Switzerland, and the country has become a world leader in returning such cash.
Unquote
The examples of successful recovery of black monies by the powerful US and the less powerful other nations show that any country can do it, if it has the will and the determination to pursue its wealth secreted abroad. Such actions not only help recover the lost wealth but also act as a deterrent to generate black wealth in future. Viewed in this background the India emerges as a contrast to the trend in the world to hot pursue the black money. India is neither doing anything within India to expose and prosecute the corrupt and the offenders nor take geopolitical or legal steps outside to recover the black wealth of India stashed away abroad
4. Mubarak and others
The other recent example is that of Hosni Mubarak the deposed President of Egypt. As suggested by a Reuter report of 11th Feb 2011.
“Switzerland has frozen assets possibly belonging to Hosni Mubarak, who stepped down as president of Egypt on Friday after 30 years of rule, a spokesman for the foreign ministry said “[9]
Mubarak weathered 30 years of iron-fist rule, which relied heavily on Egypt’s emergency law. With today’s news that Mubarak resigns, it is uncertain what the 82-year old former head of Egypt will do. Stashing his cash in British and Swiss banks, rumors place Mubarak’s wealth at $70 billion.
Keeping the funds offshore ensured that monies would not be seized by Egypt’s military in the case of a coup. The fly in the ointment may be thedecision of Swiss Banks to freeze assets associated with Mubarak. [10]
In another report we find the estimated assets of Mubarak are $ 70 billion. It also give details of other leaders like Benazir Bhutto and Baby Doc Duvalier involved in keeping illegal money in Swiss accounts and how they were frozen.
Pakistan Opposition Leader Benazir Bhutto
Benazir Bhutto was opposed by former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, Al-Qaida, and the Taliban and Pakistani jihadist groups. She was eventually assassinated in 2007. Ten years prior to her death, Swiss Banks went ahead with a move to freeze assets belonging to Bhutto and her extended family at the request of Pakistan.
Haiti’s Jean-Claude “Baby Doc” Duvalier
Another customer of Swiss banking institutions, Jean-Claude Duvalier, saw frozen assets not once but twice. The most recent freeze occurred in February, 2011 when roughly $6 million were put on ice until further adjudication.
Another report suggests that the Swiss Banks have banned transfer of funds held by the Libyan dictator Gaddafi and his relatives. [11]
Quote:
ZURICH, March 4 (Reuters) – Switzerland ratcheted up pressure on Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi by banning transfers of money that could end up in the hands of his family and associates. Switzerland is working hard to improve its image as a haven for ill-gotten assets and in February the Swiss government froze assets of 29 Libyans linked to Gaddafi. It has also frozen any assets belonging to ousted Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak.
“Switzerland wants to prevent any financial support of Muammar Gaddafi and his circle,” the government said. It will also be forbidden to give people linked to Gaddafi direct or indirect access to money or economic resources, it added.
Unquote
V. The Indian scene
When this issue came up before last general elections [April2009] to Parliament, the initial reaction of some of the leaders in the ruling establishment was outright denial of the issue. They even questioned the existence of such money.
But when the issue deepened with the progress of the campaign for the general elections and it became an important election issue with all opposition parties taking up the issue in a big way, the Ruling Congress-led UPA Alliance was also forced to admit that huge Indian black money had been stashed away abroad and the Chairman of the United Progressive Alliance Mrs. Sonia Gandhi committed in her address to her party workers meeting at Mangalore on April 27, 2009 that the UPA, if elected, would work to bring the black monies illegally stashed away by Indians abroad.
The Prime Minister Dr Man Mohan Singh also came out with similar undertaking to the people of India that the monies illegally stashed away abroad would be brought back.
Thus almost the entire political spectrum without exception – from the ruling UPA to the opposition NDA and all other opposition parties – has committed to the people of India to bring back the black money illegally stashed away abroad by Indians. So it is no more an exclusive issue of one party or another
The media has begun highlighting and pursuing the issue of black money stashed by Indians abroad as never before. With the stench of 2G spectrum scam and Commonwealth Games scam dominating of the national scene, the wealth stashed abroad is being increasingly linked to bribery and kickbacks. Added to these are the un-pursued and unresolved instances of Indian wealth stashed away abroad like the Hasan Ali case, Quattrocchi affair and the Lichtenstein Bank matter.
Indian black wealth abroad $500 billions, says Global Financial Integrity
The Global financial Integrity – a Non-profit research organization – working in the area of Tax Havens has estimated for India that the present value of illegal financial flows held abroad is nearly $500 Billions[12] Our GDP or national income[Nov 2010] at that time was nearly USD 1200 billons. And so nearly 40 % is outside as illegal wealth. At say 50 rupees to a USD-at that time- it comes to INR 25000 Billions.
So now there can be no dispute about the amount of Indian wealth stashed away abroad. GFI says that more than two-thirds of this amount has been stashed away after the liberalization of the Indian economy in 1990s. It means that those aspects of the liberalization policies, which must have facilitated this process, must be scrutinized as part of the preventive efforts needed to tackle the accumulation of Indian black wealth abroad on an ongoing basis.
Now let us look at what kind of black money from elsewhere is lodged in secret Swiss bank accounts. We saw that nearly one trillion out of 2.8 trillion of Swiss money –CHR—is black money says KonradHummler –The Chairman of the Swiss private Bankers Association. Julian Assange of Wiki leaks fame has told an Indian TV channel that Indians are largest investors in Swiss Banks.
That means out of 1 trillion USD [the Swiss Currency is nearly same as US Dollar] more than 50 % is owned by Indians. This alone comes to USD 500 billion. This is only Bank deposits. Then there are other exotic financial products offered by Swiss Banks –offshore also-where Indians are invested. Plus there are funds accumulated directly abroad through commissions in defense contracts [remember Bofors!] which is not going out of the country due to trade mis-pricing. This does not also include gems/diamonds/and other precious metals stored in safe boxes.
The International Narcotics Control Strategy Report –Money Laundering and Financial Crimes –March 2009—by US department of state suggests that 30-40 percent of the inflows may be by Hawala market –not accounted. During 2007-2008 according that report formal inflows were USD 42.6 billion and so 40 percent of this namely USD 18 Billion could be reflected as illegal “flows” not captured by the law. This sum could be paid for in rupees here but stored in tax havens abroad. This Hawala deals are for only one year.
Hence one can conclude that GFI estimate of USD 500 billion is a lower band and 1.5 trillion USD can be an upper band. That means it is between Rs.25 000 Bn and 75 000Bn [at 50 Rs per USD].
Not just tax evasion, but “theft” and “plunder” – says the Indian Supreme Court
But on the 19th of January-2011 [Wednesday] the Supreme Court of India made an historic observation about this shameful phenomenon of Indian funds kept illegally abroad and the obstructionist attitude of the Central Government in unraveling the truth. The Bench was observing on the Petition filed by Ram Jethmalani and others with reference to the illegal money kept by Indians in the Lichtenstein bank [13]
    Quote:
Describing black money stashed away abroad by Indians as “pure and simple theft of national money,” the Supreme Court on Wednesday questioned the Centre’s approach to tackling this menace and retrieving the huge amount kept in foreign banks.
When Solicitor-General GopalSubramaniam furnished in a sealed cover a list of 26 names who had accounts with Liechtenstein Bank, a Bench of Justices B. Sudershan Reddy and S.S. Nijjar was not convinced of the steps taken by the government for getting back black money.
Justice Reddy, after perusing the list, told the SG: “This is all the information you have or you have something more! We are talking about the huge money. It is a plunder of the nation. It is a pure and simple theft of the national money. We are talking about mind-boggling crime. We are not on niceties of various treaties.”
The Bench was hearing a petition filed by the former Union Law Minister, Ram Jethmalani, and others. Appearing for them, senior counsel Anil Divan earlier alleged inaction on the part of the Centre in bringing back black money parked in foreign banks.
Unquote
The Supreme court in its wisdom has very correctly analyzed the malaise as the “plunder of the nation” and not a simple tax avoidance issue.
Bribes as important source of Indian black monies stashed abroad
Corruption in our country has a historical perspective of its own. As pointed out by the Supreme Court (State of MP vs. Ram Singh 2000 (5) SCC 88):
Quote:
Corruption is termed as a plague, which is not only contagious but if not controlled, spreads like a fire in a jungle. Its virus is compared with HIV leading to AIDS, being incurable. It has also been termed as royal thievery. The sociopolitical system exposed to such a dreaded communicable disease is likely to crumble under its own weight. Corruption is opposed to democracy and social order, being not only anti-people, but aimed and targeted against them. It affects the economy and destroys the cultural heritage. Unless nipped in the bud at the earliest, it is likely to cause turbulence – shaking the socioeconomic- political system in an otherwise healthy, wealthy, and effective and vibrating society.
Unquote
There are various categories of culprits. Some are traditional business leaders who have been accumulating money since the 50s; some are new rich entrepreneurs and politicians and bureaucrats who influence decision making for large global purchases. The third category is the money launderers for nefarious purposes including financing of terrorism.
There is a need to look at the larger issues of not only corruption but also the impact on our foreign exchange, inflation and interest rates due to these illegal funds stashed abroad. Had these funds been available to India, its foreign exchange situation would have been totally different and the exchange rates would also be very favorable to India.Groups would be more than willing tobring it back –already they aresuspected of doing this through theParticipatory Note process in the stockmarket.[14]
The returns in India are veryattractive and India is one of the fewcountries, which are growing at more than 9 per cent even in the midst of aglobal meltdown. Plus, the severeactions contemplated against the taxhavens by the OECD countries etc. willalso be a cause of concern for the Indianholders of illegal funds.
VI.The Tide May be turning against Tax Havens
Given the economic meltdown many developed countries like USA/Germany/France are after these tax havens and applying pressure to priss open the details regarding illicit wealth kept by its citizens in Tax Havens. Not only that they are using multi-lateral forums like EU/OECD/FATF/G8etc. to enhance transparency in the functioning of tax havens.
 Many of the developing countries including India are in the process of finalizing bi-lateral treaties with most of the tax havens regarding sharing of information. But these treaties are mainly prospective in nature and also do not provide for “fishing expedition”. Some of the jurisdictions still treat tax evasion as not a crime and hence it becomes difficult to gather information unless some criminal intent is established.
A recent report in India suggests the difficulties faced by emerging markets in this regard. It says that jurisdictions likeSwitzerland, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Hong Kong, Singapore, Samoa and Seychelles are some of the countries which have been requested to share information  but have not done so effectively. In fact, with Switzerland and UAE, India has tax agreements for sharing of information but it has not helped much.[15]
Quote:
India to blacklist tax havens not sharing info.
If so, Switzerland, UAE, Hong Kong and Singapore will find it difficult to do business with Indians.
The government is considering blacklisting foreign jurisdictions not sharing information on money parked by Indians in their country, despite a tax information exchange agreement with India.
Blacklisted countries would find it difficult to do business with Indian citizens. Besides a higher tax burden, Indian taxpayers dealing with such jurisdictions would be disallowed deductions in respect of expenditure, allowance or payment made to a financial institution in that country.
Officials said Switzerland, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Hong Kong, Singapore, Samoa and Seychelles are some of the countries which have been requested to share information but have not done so effectively. In fact, with Switzerland and UAE, India has tax agreements for sharing of information but it has not helped much.
In Budget 2011-12, the finance ministry had inserted Section 94A in theIncome Tax Act to notify countries that were not cooperating in information exchange.
It said an Indian resident entering into transactions with such notified territories would be denied certain income tax benefits.While the provision came into effect from June 2011, the government did not notify the rules in this regard as it just wanted to use this provision “as a threat” and did not want to jeopardize India’s trading relations with any of those countries. It is now planning to notify the rules, within a week, and this may be seen as a precursor to blacklisting of one or two non-cooperating countries.
“We are expediting the notification of rules because a few countries may have to be notified as non-cooperating and blacklisted,” said a government official, who did not wish to be identified.
Another official said a small country might be blacklisted to send a signal but it would be difficult to take any action against important trading partners, like UAE, as it might spoil India’s relationship with the country. He added a political will was required to take action against a large country.
India’s trade with UAE constitutes 9.4 per cent of the country’s total trade. Switzerland and Singapore have 3.9 per cent and 2.7 per cent share in India’s total trade, respectively.
The trade with Seychelles is barely 0.01 per cent of total trade, while it is negligible with Samoa.
India is not the first country to have such blacklisting provisions. Some European countries like France too have it. There is a provision of all countries being blacklisted, unless they share information.
Recently, India approached half a dozen foreign jurisdictions, including Singapore, Samoa, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands and Cook Islands, for banking and other financial details of 500 individuals and entities that might have ‘secret offshore accounts’ at those places. The names and listed addresses of 505 India-linked entities were made public after a global expose on secret offshore accounts by US-based rights group, the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists.
Unquote
VII.Developing countries should Care about Results
This leads to the issue of multilateral actions than bi-lateral treaties to exert pressure on tax havens. This is what has been suggested by Global Financial integrity and now the Financial transparency has been stressing for long.
There are issues like Automatic Tax information exchange; Country by Country reporting; disclosure of beneficial ownership using public registries etc. which affect emerging markets significantly and it is required for them look ahead for further steps. This has been summarized nicely by Ann Hollingshead [16]
Quote:
Why Developing Countries Should Care About the G8 Summit
June 19, 2013 by Ann Hollingshead
The leaders of the world’s eight wealthiest economies have finished their meetings, headed home, and issued a final communiqué for the G8 summit in Lough Erne. And though emerging economies are not represented at the meetings[ Russia is an ambiguous exception].
There are plenty of reasons they should deeply care about what was said. In general, the G8 communiqué goes a long way to calling out important tax issues, but in particular understands the importance of tax in the context of mobilizing domestic resources, curtailing illicit financial flows, and promoting development.
And while the G8 did not go as far as they should have on some issues, they did make a fair number of important promises on tax and transparency to developing countries. Developing countries should take heed of these promises—and hold the G8 accountable to them.
Before I dive down into the specifics, I’ll start with a quote from the G8 communiqué that reiterates the importance of these ideas:
It’s in everyone’s interests for developing countries to be able to: strengthen their tax base to help create stable and sustainable states; improve their ability to fund their budgets through their own domestic revenues; and increase ownership of their own development processes.
This quote is significant. First, it acknowledges that the world is not a zero sum game. In the last few years, the world accepted that a less polarized global economic system, one in which all of the players drive economic demand and where wealth is more diffuse, would benefit everyone. That developing countries should grow their economies is not only in the interest of those in the developing world, but in the industrialized world, as well. Second, this quote draws a strong connection between development, sustainable economic growth, and taxes. In particular, it acknowledges the importance of mobilizing domestic resources in the context of economic development. It’s a simple idea that has gained a lot of traction in the last few years. I’m glad the G8 has paired these ideas together—and taken them as given.
To the end of development and capacity in tax collection, the 2013 Lough Erne G8 Leaders Communiquépoints to several issues—and makes several promises—with varying degrees of forcefulness. I outline these issues below, noting the next (concrete) steps we should watch for or take, and call out some actions developing countries should forge on these fronts.
Automatic Tax Information Exchange
G8 commitment. In light of the recent bilateral and multilateral, yet piecemeal approaches to this issue in the United States and Europe, the G8 has committed to “developing a single truly global model for multilateral and bilateral automatic tax information exchange building on existing systems.” The leaders go on to note that it is “important that all jurisdictions, including developing countries, benefit from this new standard in information exchange.”
Next steps. Expect the OECD to take over. To that end, the OECD has already released a reportoutlining four concrete steps to achieve a global, secure and cost-effective model of automatic exchange of information.
Developing countries should join the Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters, which is open to all countries and provides a legal basis for automatic exchange of information. They should also start looking for explicit and specific details on implementation—it’s time to move beyond generalities.
Country-by-Country Reporting
G8 commitment. Acknowledging the importance of ensuring that tax rules do not encourage multinational enterprises to “reduce overall taxes paid by artificially shifting profits to low-tax jurisdictions,” the G8 noted that “multinationals should report to tax authorities what they pay where.” The communiqué also agreed the best way to accomplish this is via “comprehensive and relevant information on the financial position of multinationals… in a standardized format focusing on high level information on the global allocation of profits and taxes paid.”
Next steps. Sadly, this commitment doesn’t really commit these countries to doing much of anything. Broadly speaking we can look to the OECD for a common template for country-by-country reporting to tax authorities. But to achieve real change, we need multinationals to publicly report revenues, profits, losses, taxes paid, and number of employees in each country where they operate. We’ll have to keep pushing.
Developing countries should be heartened by the G8′s acknowledgement that developing countries should be able “to secure the benefits and progress made on this agenda.” Unfortunately, they also remain exposed to risk from abusive transfer pricing and profit shifting.
Beneficial Ownership
G8 commitment. On generalities, the G8 hit the mark. In specifics, it fell flat. In the communiqué, the G8 leaders agreed that “a lack of knowledge about who ultimately controls, owns and profits from companies and legal arrangements, including trusts, not only assists those who seek to evade tax, but also those who seek to launder the proceeds of crime, often across borders.” But the G8 advocated achieving more transparency on this front with central registries, rather than public registries.
Next steps.The difference between central and public registries is immense. In the first case, this information would only be available to already resource- and cash-strapped law enforcement officials, who lack the capacity to effectively oversee and use this information. On other hand, public registries would allow citizens, journalists, and members of civil society to hold companies accountable for their actions. We’ll need world leaders–especially the Obama administration–to accept this difference and support public registries. For now, though, the ball on beneficial ownership is in the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) court.
Developing countries should go it alone, until further notice. They can, for example, follow the lead of the UK’s Financial Services Authority which reviewed the nation’s banks, looking to how well they deal with the risk of money laundering, and the threat to the financial system from corrupt money. Individually, they have the option of passing legislation that would require companies, trusts, and foundations to put information about their beneficial owners in the public domain.
Unquote
It is important the G-8 considers the concerns of emerging markets and until and unless itis done the possibility of leaks of beneficial owners of tax haven accounts gets increased as it is indicated by the disclosure by International Consortium of Investigative Journalists [ICIJ]
VIII.Conclusion 
It is important that emerging markets learn from the way developed countries are dealing with tax havens. Along with EU and G8 it is required for emerging markets to stress on a multi-lateral frame work regarding the Tax havens, They need to focus on
  1. Automatic Tax Information Exchange
  2. Country-by-Country Reporting
  3. Beneficial Ownership
They can form a joint body like G8 exclusively for the issue of tax havens since for emerging markets the issues are not just tax evasion but also illicit wealth accumulation by dictators in the tax haven jurisdictions. The money belongs to poor people of respective countries.
They should also use fully the information getting spread by the investigations of International Consortium of Investigative Journalists [ ICIJ] to explore avenues to get back illicit money stored in these tax havens.
The important question is whether leaders in the emerging markets have the political will to act since some of these leaders themselves are suspect. But the sustained efforts of some of the EU members and social agencies like Financial Transparency Coalition [ formerly known as Task Force on Financial Integrity and Economic Development] ; Global Financial integrity etc. may yield results in at least having more transparency. In that Emerging markets will have collateral benefits. Any which way slowly and steadily it is recognized that the global financial architecture needs to be re-cast and the role of secretive financial jurisdiction or tax havens is reduced in the scheme of things.
___________________
References:
2. Raymond W Baker: Capitalism’s Achilles Heel— Dirty Money and how to renew the free
market system— page 36 John Wiley & sons Inc NJ -2005
3. Nicholas Shaxson –Treasure islands- Tax heavens and the men who stole the world: Page 8;
The Bodley Head London 2011.
Author: EJ Fagan–is a communications intern at Global Financial Integrity and Wealth
Bulletin, on the recently released IMF study: Cross-Border Investment in Small International
Financial Centers (via Richard Murphy)
5. http://www.revue.ch/files/SRV_03_09_ENG_LOW.pdf
6. Users of Tax Havens beaten by Political Gale– New York Times 26th Feb 1961—quoted
in Nicholas Shaxson –op cit
7. R. Vaidyanathan Get Back the Money Illegally Held abroad–Eternal India April 2009 –New
Delhi.
assets, 0, 5236590.story
10.Swiss Banks Again Freeze Assets; Target: Hosni Mubarak
11.Swiss ban financial transfers to Gaddafi clan
markets_1470560
_________________________
Note: This is a modified—abridged- version of the paper presented at 17th Asia Pacific Risk and Insurance Conference held at New York towards end July 2013

A no-win situation for Tibet -- Claude Arpi

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A no-win situation for Tibet


By Claude Arpi on August 20, 2013


A no-win situation for TibetA few years ago on a visit to France, I came across a large number of newspaper articles written just after Mao Zedong’s People’s Liberation Army invaded Tibet in October 1950. It was fascinating to go through these clippings and an eye opener to discover what impressions and perspectives senior correspondents and Tibet ‘experts’ viewed the Land of Snows at this crucial time of Tibetan history.
One of the issues touched upon by the  French Press during this period (between October 25 and November 10, 1950) was: ‘Is Tibet a Paradise?’  At the same time, the debate was raging in India: should India accept Tibet’s invasion without a word?
In Parliament, Shyama Prasad Mookerjee suggested that India should strengthen her borders, especially in view of ‘the incorporation of Assam and Ladakh in the Chinese maps’. He warned the House that it was clear from the Chinese notes sent to justify the invasion that “China will do everything necessary for the purpose of keeping intact what it considers to be China’s border and when it refers to Chinese border, it includes Tibet as well and the ‘undefined boundary’ of Tibet so far, as it touches Indian border.”

Nehru remained philosophical. He said that there was a tremendous change in Asia. He could not say if it was good or bad — human values were not what they used to be: “I wonder whether anything of value in life will remain for sensitive individuals”. He reminded the House that China was a big nation which could not be ignored. Ultimately, Nehru did not do anything, letting China ‘liberate’ the Roof of the World.
To come back to my clippings, I came across several odd descriptions of Tibet, but one of the strangest was in an article in Combat, a newspaper founded during the WWII by the French resistance. It explained to its readers that the invasion of Tibet was not an ordinary invasion, there was something more behind it: “For the lovers of signs and occult connections, the invasion of Tibet by the Chinese troops takes a particularly important meaning.”
The journalist expounded his ‘inner’ theory about the remnants of the Atlantis civilisation: “Tibet has a very special place in the Atlantis tradition. According to this tradition, the Atlantis, the motherland of a supremely wise and powerful humanity, kept the secrets of a communion with the spirit and the living matter which we have lost and which modern technology is powerless to recover.” That sounds surrealistic and was not of great help for the Tibetans.
Le Parisien Libéré resumed the situation more prosaically: “[Compared] to other parts of the world, Tibet has an inappreciable advantage: One can say anything without worrying about being contradicted. The reason for this is simple: The best informed people know only the boundaries. Only the rarest of the travellers, exceptionally brave, went through this land. They can be counted on the fingers of one hand. Nobody really penetrated Tibet.”
Many journalists concluded that with the invasion of Tibet, a world was disappearing: A world of wisdom living outside time and space. A few ‘Leftist’ newspapers dreamt of another myth.  They believed that Communist China would bring a ‘true liberation’ to the people of Tibet who were eagerly waiting for them in order to start a new life, a free and ‘socialist’ life. The Communist Le Soir commented: “As for the Tibetan farmer, no one can doubt that he envisages with joy to leave the rank of a slave and become a free man. Though it was announced that the PLA would have to fight very hard to enter Tibet, they had already reached Lhasa. On their way, they received an enthusiastic welcome of the newly freed people.”
But for most of the authors/journalists Tibet was a paradise.  A French explorer André Guilbaud had, however, warned that the ‘paradise’ might not last forever: “Tibet, though protected by high mountains and boreal climate, has escaped [the fate] of other peoples; it is improbable that this anachronism will last very long.” Guilbaud spoke about the first signs of the vanishing of a very old past which is now on the death row. Will this past be replaced by something better? Time is certainly not too far away when it will be possible to enter Tibet by car or by plane. Then the lamaist civilisation will die.
Guilbaud probably did not foresee 15 million Han Chinese ‘descending’ on Lhasa every year. Today, Tibet is on the way to become a ‘paradise’ again. This time it is not a mythic paradise, or a paradise for Han tourists, but a fiscal paradise. According to Simon Rabinovitch of The Financial Times (FT), ‘Tibet opens up as new domestic tax haven’.
The London newspaper explains: “Cayman Islands, step aside. Private equity funds looking to cut their tax bills have a new option some 3,600 metres above sea level at the foot of the Himalayas. The only catch is, they will be playing a role in China’s strategy to tighten its grip on Tibet.” Lhoka Prefecture in Southern Tibet (north of Tawang district of Arunachal Pradesh and Bhutan) has decided to offer great tax breaks and ‘other sweeteners in an attempt to make itself a home for private equity funds and investment companies’.
The FT asserts that Lhoka is unusually aggressive: “The enticements for private equity funds to set up shop in Tibet are part of the Chinese Government’s push to develop the region’s economy at the same time as establishing firmer control over it.” Wang Jinghe, a lawyer from Shanghai told the FT: “Many places throughout China, especially big cities like Beijing and Shanghai, have been offering preferential policies to private equity firms. But over the past year, lots more investors have been mentioning Tibet and talking about moving there”.
Which Paradise should the Tibetans favour? The mythic paradise? The tourist paradise or the fiscal paradise? A no-win situation! But that is not all, according to the statistics released by China’s Development and Reform Commission, in the neighbouring Nyingchi Prefecture (also north of Arunachal), from January to June of 2013, about 347.7 million US Dollars have been invested in the key projects. It is a year-on-year growth of 115  per cent. The 12th Five-Year Plan says that 129 projects amounting for 6.4 billion US Dollars will be taken up between 2011 and 2015 in the Prefecture; it includes 4.3 billion US Dollars of planned investment. A ‘development’ paradise at India’s gate!
http://www.niticentral.com/2013/08/20/a-no-win-situation-for-tibet-121267.html

Geography of Soma -- Prof. TP Verma (2013)

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Verma, T.P., 2013, Geography of Soma: the cradle of Human Civilization, in: Itihas Darpan, volume 17 (2), 2013, pages 177-194.

Summary

Soma was plant that grew in Central Asia and finds mention in Rgveda and Avesta. This can be called the cradle of humanity. Later, when the centre of gravity of Rgvedic culture shifted to South Asia it became rare commodity for these people; but at the same time Soma remained a household thing used in different rites and ceremonies.

An attempt is made here to fix the geography of Soma. The Nadésükta of Rgveda speaks
of three Sapta-Sindhus in the Abode of Vivasvata (land of humanity) and we have tried
to identify these three. We have also marked the geological changes in region that are
contained in puranic legends. Sections discussed hereunder:

A. Soma in Antiquity
B. Nadi-Sükta: the Abode of Vivasvat
C. The Land of Soma
D. Soma in Iran: A Common Heritage
E. Soma Worshiping Peoples
F. Related Facts and Misconceptions about Soma.

Read on...

http://www.scribd.com/doc/162128818/Geography-of-Soma-the-cradle-of-Human-ciilization-TP-Verma-2013

Geography of Soma: the cradle of Human ciilization (TP Verma, 2013)

NGO questions EC's decision to buy old model EVMs

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NGO questions EC's decision to buy old model EVMs

August 21, 2013 13:55 IST

After informing the Supreme Court that it was ready to purchase new EVMs with a paper receipt,  the Election Commission has done an about-turn and ordered the same old machines which are known to be easily manipulated, reports Vicky Nanjappa
In the upcoming elections, you could well be voting through the same Electronic Voting Machines which are known to be easily tampered with.
Satya Dosapati of Save Indian Democracy, the NGO which exposed the fraud in Andhra Pradesh in 2009, says that the Election Commission's decision to buy two lakh more such EVMs is alarming.
He points out that the EC had earlier done several field trials with a Voter-Verified Paper Audit Trail machine design, which is an EVM with a paper receipt. Based on this, multiple design modifications had taken place, and were demonstrated to the satisfaction of the opposition parties.
The EC even informed the Supreme Court that it was ready to purchase the VVPAT-design EVMs once they get the funds from the Union government. However, now there has been a complete reversal and the EC has ordered the same old machines which are known to be easily manipulated.
Holding several state elections together which the EC is hard-pressed to manage and then buying a large quantity of extra EVMs do not bode well for fairness in  the coming elections, based on several experiences in multiple states in 2009, says Dosapati.
“In today’s scenario when no party can secure an absolute majority, all it is needed is to manipulate a small percentage (less than five per cent) in select constituencies where the margins are thin. This would be good enough to come to power,” he says.
Dosapati says given the way the country has been going through one scam after another, the decision to buy the old model EVMs is not surprising.
“Apart from staging protests outside the EC office, we also will move the Supreme Court. There is a need to bring about awareness that the EC will use the same old machines which are known to be easily manipulated, in the forthcoming elections,” he says.
The NGO had demonstrated in the past that the EVMs are a tragic story of bureaucrats who know very little about technology.
“The software is written by the programmers and burnt into a chip in Japan/the United States, and we cannot verify what is put in there. Moreover, these two countries do not even use EVMs. How can a voter be assured that his/her vote is counted against a candidate they voted for after converting the vote into bits and bytes?  If a voter needs experts to understand it, then obviously it is not transparent,” says Dosapati.
Vicky Nanjappa

In China, an Unprecedented Demographic Problem Takes Shape

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In China, an Unprecedented Demographic Problem Takes Shape



An elderly man in Beijing. (LIU JIN/AFP/Getty Images)

Summary

Chinese society is on the verge of a structural transformation even more profound than the long and painful project of economic rebalancing, which the Communist Party is anxiously beginning to undertake. China's population is aging more rapidly than it is getting rich, giving rise to a great demographic imbalance with important implications for the Party's efforts to transform the Chinese economy and preserve its own power in the coming decade.

Analysis

Two reports in Chinese media highlight different aspects of China's unfolding demographic crunch. The Ministry of Education reported Aug. 21 that more than 13,600 primary schools closed nationwide in 2012. The ministry looked to China's dramatically shifting demographic profile to explain the widespread closures, noting that between 2011 and 2012 the number of elementary-aged students fell from nearly 200 million to 145 million. It also confirmed that between 2002 and 2012, the number of students enrolled in primary schools dropped by nearly 20 percent. The ministry's report comes one day after an article in People's Daily, the government newspaper, warned of China's impending social security crisis as the number of elderly is expected to rise from 194 million in 2012 to 300 million by 2025.
China's Demography: 2010
China's Demography: 2025
The Communist Party is already considering measures to counter, or at least limit the short-term impact of, demographic changes in Chinese society. On one hand, the Party continues to flirt with relaxing the one-child policy in an effort to boost fertility rates, most recently with a potential pilot program in Shanghai that would allow only-child couples to have another child. On the other hand, the government has proposed raising the national retirement age from 55 to 60 for women and from 60 to 65 for men. If implemented, this would bring China's retirement policy more in line with international norms and delay some of the financial and other social pressures created by the ballooning number of retirees dependent on government pensions and the care of their children.
But even sweeping adjustments to the one-child policy or the national retirement age would create only temporary and partial buffers to the problem of demographic change. It is no longer clear that the one-child policy has any appreciable impact on population growth in China. China's low fertility rate (1.4 children per mother, compared with an average of 1.7 in developed countries and 2.0 in the United States) is at least as much a reflection of urban couples' struggles to cope with the rapidly rising cost of living and education in many Chinese cities as it is of draconian enforcement of the policy.
Likewise, lifting the retirement age by five years will only partly delay the inevitable, and in the meantime it will meet stiff opposition from an important constituency of professionals, including many civil servants. In adjusting the retirement age, the government also risks aggravating an employment crisis among the rapidly growing population of unemployed college graduates in cities, many of whom are looking to filter into the employment ladder as elderly workers exit the workforce. In this context, the Communist Party must weigh policy adjustments carefully -- any change it makes in one area is likely to create new tensions elsewhere in the workforce.
The crux of China's demographic challenge lies in the fact that, unlike Japan, South Korea, the United States and Western European countries, China's population will grow old before the majority of it is anywhere near middle-income status, let alone rich. This is historically unprecedented, and its implications are made all the more unpredictable by its coinciding with the Chinese economy's forced shift away from an economic model grounded in the exploitation of inexhaustibly cheap labor toward one in which young Chinese will be expected to sustain the country's economic life as workers and as consumers. A temporary reprieve from the demographic crisis will be difficult but possible with reform, but a long-term solution is far out of reach.

http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/china-unprecedented-demographic-problem-takes-shape?utm_source=freelist-f&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20130822&utm_term=FreeReport&utm_content=title&elq=3d4dbfda9bb7453dab58fa5703f39fd1

Konkani Parishad gets internet avatar

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अखिल भारतीय कोंकणी परिशदेन  नागरी लिपी परिशद (दिल्ली) आनी गोंय विद्यापीठाचो कोंकणी विभाग हांच्या जोड पालवान  विद्यापीठाच्या  सभाघरांत दोन दिसांचो राष्ट्रीय परिसंवाद   घडोवन http://www.konkaniparishad.org/
Published: August 22, 2013 15:43 IST | Updated: August 22, 2013 15:44 IST

Konkani Parishad gets internet avatar

Special Correspondent
The Hindu

The ABKP website provides links to other Konkani sites like the Konkani ‘Shabdmalem’ of the Goa University and the ‘Konkanverter’ that facilitates transliteration from one script to another.

Veteran freedom fighter and poet Naguesh Karmali on Tuesday launched the website of Akhil Bharatiya Konkani Parishad (ABKP) at a function held in the city.
The newly launched website of ABKP provides links to other Konkani sites like the Konkani ‘Shabdmalem’ of the Goa University and the ‘Konkanverter’ that facilitates transliteration from one script to another.
The website has original write-ups on Konkani language, literature, art, culture, folklore and education, said president of ABKP Arvind Bhatikar. The launch was presided over by Mr. Bhatikar and writers and activists of the Konkani movement including Advocate Uday Bhembre, Pundalik Naik, Bhushan Bhave, Tanaji Halarnkar, Prakash Padgaonkar, Chetan Acharya, Pandurang Nadkarni, Hema Naik, Shakuntala Bharne, Snehalata Bhatikar, representatives of many Konkani organisations, teachers, and students.
The website carries information related to the Parishad’s founder Late Madhav Manjunath Shanbhag, a brief history of the Organisation, detailed reports of its 28 biennial All India Conventions, 21 All India Konkani Literary Conferences and bio-data and the texts of the speeches of presidents of most conventions and conferences. Also on the site are details of various other programmes of the Parishad and provision for making available audio books on the website.
Links will be provided to websites of other Konkani organisations in due course, Mr. Bhatikar said on Wednesday. The website has been designed at Mangalore by Gokuldas Prabhu, executive president of the Parishad, with the help of Guru Baliga of the Vishwa Konkani Kendra, Mangalore.
The website can be accessed at www.konkaniparishad.org. Further information on the subjects covered in the website and about activities for the development of Konkani language and culture can be sent for updating the website to Mr. Prabhu at aikp1939@gmail.com in Unicode Devnagari script, stated Mr. Bhatikar.

Earth's Loftiest Airfield

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New Record: IAF Puts Super Herc Down On Earth's Loftiest Airfield

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

IAF Statement: In a significant capability demonstration move by the IAF, a C 130J-30 Super Hercules aircraft landed at Daulat Beg Oldie (DBO), the  highest airstrip in the world  at 0654 hrs today. The Commanding Officer Group Captain Tejbir Singh and the crew of the "Veiled Vipers" along with senior officer of Air Headquarters touched down on the DBO airstrip located at 16614 feet (5065 meters) in the Aksai Chin area after taking off from their home base at Hindon.

DBO is an important Army forward area post which links the ancient silk route to china. This base was built during the Indo-China conflict in 1962 and came into prominence when Packet aircraft of the IAF operated from DBO between 1962 and 1965. Once again this strategic base in the Northern Himalayas gained importance when it was resurrected and reactivated by the IAF along with the Indian Army and made operational when a twin engine AN 32 aircraft from Chandigarh landed there after a gap of 43 years.

Considering the very limited load carrying capability of AN 32 and helicopters, a decision was taken by the IAF to land the C130J-30 aircraft  which is capable of lifting upto 20 tonnes of load. With this enhanced airlift capability the IAF will now be in a better position to meet the requirements of our land forces who are heavily dependent on the air bridge for sustainence in these higher and inhospitable areas.

The tactical airlift aircraft of the special operations squadron the  "Veiled Vipers" which is capable of undertaking quick deployment of  forces in all weather conditions, including airdrops and landings on unprepared or semi prepared surfaces created history today by landing at this altitude and hostile terrain conditions. This achievement qualifies for the world record for the highest landing by an aircraft of this class. Incidentally, this was the same aircraft and crew that operated at Dharasu during "Op Rahat" for the Uttarakhand flood relief.

Today's achievement will enable the forces to exploit the inherent advanced capabilities of the aircraft by increased capability to induct troops, improve communication network and also serve as a great morale booster  for maintenance of troops positioned there. It is also a projection of the fact that the IAF is capable of operating in such inhospitable terrain in support of the Indian Army.

12 comments:

Anonymous said...
Bravo....bravo...!!!
Anonymous said...
Great News!!!

Shiv:
1. Does this landing ensures us carrying close to 100 people troops / Light Armoured Vehicle/Carrier - close to the LAC during conflict zone?
2. We should build a permanent military base near the landing strip and provide supplies round the year to our troops to manage DBO better.
Anonymous said...
Whoa! Way to go
Anonymous said...
At least somebody in this country is focused on their job!!!
Indian said...
I doubt C130J-30 Hercules can deliver 20 Tons of load at such height i.e. 16614 feet (5065 meters)...the air is thinner and hence engine's capability gets reduced drastically.
Anonymous said...
Did it carry any (mock) load? I didn't think the super-herc was designed for hot and high, although with a S(er)TOL than the herc, it could ostensibly be used for that.
sasi said...
It can land with 20tn since it is taking off from interland.
Only it cannot take off with 20tn from DBO.
Anonymous said...
Does that dust damage plane?
Anonymous said...
Nice. C-17 next please.
Anonymous said...
recently acquired C-17 globe master could have done a better job.
Anonymous said...
C-17 can't land @ 16000F
Even if it can payload limited due thin air
C-130 is the workhorse for this
Anonymous said...
Wont dust affect the engine performance ?
http://www.livefistdefence.com/2013/08/new-record-iaf-puts-super-herc-down-on.html

Swissgate, linked to 2G scam? An MP's letter to PM floating around in Lutyens' Delhi

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After Coalgate, will it be Swissgate?


By Niticentral Staff on August 22, 2013
After Coalgate, will it be Swissgate?
A veteran Member of Parliament who has in the past exposed many a scam involving black money and tax evasion is believed to have written to Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, bringing to his attention extremely serious allegations of a top politically-connected official of the UPA regime having parked huge sums of money in the Singapore branch of a prominent Swiss bank.
Niti Central is in possession of a copy of the letter. But since the MP, who is not affiliated to the BJP or any of its allies, has so far refused to comment on the purported letter, specific details of it are not being placed in the public domain. Copies of the letter, however, are floating around in Lutyens’s Delhi.
The Prime Minister is yet to reply to the purported letter whose explosive contents, if true, could rock the UPA Government and send ruinous tremors through the Congress establishment.
If the contents of the letter are true – no material evidence has been offered in the letter which seeks the Prime Minister’s views on the allegations – then Central agencies were reportedly alerted two years ago in 2011 by foreign agencies about huge sums of money being shifted and parked in this alleged account.
The information is claimed to have come from the Financial Services Authority of Britain and the Monetary Authority of Singapore. It has been alleged that India’s Central agencies have been sitting on the information.
The account is believed to have been opened in 1997 when the beneficiary was working for a State Government. Between 1997 and 2007, “huge amount of foreign currency was deposited frequently… It might be in hundreds of crores ” in this account, according to the purported letter.
The MP then adds: “Suddenly in 2007, huge amount of money was transferred to the account of (the senior official’s) daughter in the same branch of the same bank … As (the senior official) is an Indian citizen, both Singapore and UK agencies have alerted the Indian authorities, following the principles of international practices on curbing money laundering and illegal activities.”
The purported letter points to a potential link between the 2G spectrum scam and benefits accruing to the holder of the alleged account in the Singapore branch of the Swiss bank.
There are whispers in the corridor that the MP who is said to have written the letter has documents pertaining to the allegations levelled against the official. But he is waiting to hear from the Prime Minister before proceeding any further.

EVM tampering. Lok Sabha 2009 elections -- SC should take suo moto notice and intervene.

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The perilous state of the nation can be gauged by one indicator. A high-profile case of EVM tampering in Sivaganga Lok Sabha Constituency in 2004 is still pending adjudication in Madras High Court. 

Now the next Lok Sabha elections are fast approaching. Hopefully, the judgement from the Hon'ble HC will come before the announcement of the next election dates.

The issues raised in this note require a high level and rapid investigation team to be ordered under the supervision of the Hon'ble SC.

When fence eats away the field, who is to protect the crop for present and future generations.  The issues are at the core of India's democracy at work.

Kalyanaraman

Electronic Voting Machines : Unconstitutional and Tamperable (PaperbackAuthor: Subramanian Swamy, S. Kalyanaraman
Publisher: Vision Books (2010)  ISBN 9788170947981


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Save Indian Democracy <contact@saveindiandemocracy.org>
Date: Thu, Aug 22, 2013 at 8:00 PM
Subject: Extensive 2009 election fraud with ECI connivance - shocking details
To: electiontransparencyworldwide@googlegroups.com

Too few makes the connection that the roots of the current economic disaster in India with massive scams to the massive election fraud that occurred in 2009 with  the alleged connivance of ECI under Naveen Chawla.  What you read below is shocking and every detail available is presented.  Naveen Chawla took over as Chief Election Commissioner from second phase of 2009 elections (there were totally 5 phases) from Mr. Gopalswami who had recommended that Chawla be fired from CEC  to President but was rejected. (no surprises here).   It is also unprecedented in India's history where CEC changed in the middle of the elections.  

According to reliable sources, Congress has given the task of manipulating EVMs in 2009  to Andhra Pradesh YSR.   YSR has setup a war room with several foreign experts in Hyderabad and with active connivance of Naveen Chawla .  Together they successfully manipulated in select constituencies in the nation (particularly Andhra)  including that of Chidambaram in Tamilnadu.  In spite of all the secrecy of YSR efforts, there was a hitch.  It all started with mysterious spreadsheet appearing on ECI website on 6th May 2009 to the activists who were simply trying to get information about candidates.  This is midway into the elections and as you will see below the deceit,  harassment and lies.  Same thing was seen with Hari where he was harassed for showing how an EVM can be manipulated.   The same ECI would not take any action on those who came to him with crores of offers to fix elections state wide from as far as North East.   All this makes one wonder whether we are in British Raj or Indian Democracy. 
There are three pieces to understand the whole picture of 2009 fraud.. (presentation included below)
1) A mysterious spreadsheet appeared on ECI website with votes polled data even before elections are complete and as per own ECI statements, even before ECI started counting votes.    What happened after that is superb work done by activists Anupam Saraph and Madhav Nalapat at a great personal cost, particularly for Anupam.   

2)  Accurate Prediction of  State and Central Polls by Lagadapati, a very close associate of YSR. 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cILJy622wk
3) Thousands of EVMs stolen and sold as scrap in Andhra Pradesh
To get a complete the picture of EVM fraud below is link on fraud in other states (Maharashtra, Tamilnadu, Assam, Manipur etc)
http://saveindiandemocracy.wordpress.com/2013/08/16/2009-state-wide-election-fraud-other-than-ap/

1) Mysterious spreadsheet with election results found on ECI website  before elections over & harassment of activists
The best way to understand this is by Presentation of Anupam Saraph (with our modifications) given below.  Pdf file is also attached.  Anupam innocently thought the spreadsheet on ECI website may be due to hacker and informed ECI about it.   Instead of accolades,  he was fired from his job as CIC Officer,  his phones were tapped, his internet connection was cut and secret agents followed where ever he went.  To the well known Madhav Nalapat who was working with Anupam at that time, his phone, his wife phone and even his drivers phones were  tapped.   The end analysis shows anywhere up to 110 seats could have been compromised, however actual data would not be known unless ECI cooperates, which they have refused to date. Details analysis of the data were made by other activists such as academician Sohan Modak and Kalyanraman etc.

Presentation on mysterious spreadsheet in 2009 (pdf attached if more clarity needed)

http://saveindiandemocracy.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=775
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Analysis of final results compared to mysterious spreadsheet data shows that in nearly 108 cases, the winning candidates could have been compromised.    All available details in two excel sheets given below:
http://saveindiandemocracy.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=770  (Download excel file here)

http://saveindiandemocracy.wordpress.com/?attachment_id=769  (Download excel file here) 
Results interpretation:
http://government.wikia.com/wiki/Results_before_voting

How did ECI respond to questions about data?
To this day, other than saying that the data is dummy data, ECI has not answered what is this data?  If the data is dummy, why downloads of the spreadsheet shows increasing votes polled value as downloads of the spreadsheet was made by activists during a period of 4 to 5 days.
http://government.wikia.com/wiki/Requirements_from_the_ECI 
Below is Midday paper covering the story where Dr. Quraishi dismissed and said it is dummy data
http://www.mid-day.com/news/2009/jul/160709-Election-Commission-Lok-Sabha-election-S-Y-Quraishi-Pune-Municipal-Corporation.htm


Why does Opposition parties take this with earnest?
Given that this is such a serious issue, one would expect opposition will go aggressively on this.  In fact, when Chawla was selected for ECI, there was uproar.   Except in the beginning when this became know where different parties raised alarm, it was quickly subsided.   People close to political circles say this is because Congress made the opposition accomplice to the crime by allowing some of the BJP people who would not win elections otherwise.   Little did BJP leaders (and perhaps other opposition) realize that Congress will pull such a trick and outsmart them. 
India's tragedy with a pliant Election Commission:
Indian Democracy allows only one chance every 5 years  for each Indian to overthrow unfit rules and give themselves a fresh chance.  But what hope does a voter have if the very election commission is defrauded and deprive him any chance to have a say in it.   Even British took 100,000 of Britishers to rule India, but in current India, all it takes is a pliant Chief Election Commissioner.  
YSR death:
Many believe YSR death is a planned murder.   YSR knows too much, from the mastermind of 2009 election fraud with Naveen Chawla, he was known to exercise too much independence from dynasty and considered a danger to the establishment.   That is the real reason for his disappearance, just as many others who disappeared in mysterious incidents from Madhav Rao Scindia (his plane had zero fuel and crashed),  Jitendra Kumar etc before Sonia came to helm of power.
Where is the enormous money from scandals going, the Sonia angle.
When a politician steals money from India, it usually finds its way back home.  But the money Sonia is looting has a different angle.   For every rupee (or dollar) that is looted away from Indians by giving away country's resources to select few, 40% of the loot goes to Sonia family,  40% goes to Party, 20% goes to Opposition.   Very reliable sources said how Sonia and family bribed Italian Premier Berlusconi heavily to announce an attractive voluntary disclosure scheme in Italy that allowed Sonia family to legitimize all looted money from India.  

Huffington Post reported few years ago how back in 1990s Sonia's family is getting rich while Rajiv Gandhi was in power.    Dr. Swamy has reported how much of India's scams has origination to Sonia and her family.   If Indira is power hungry,  Sonia is both money hungry and is interested in power because it enables her and family to loot.  Well known Illustre Schweitger magazine reported back in 1990 there are 2 billion dollars under Rajiv Gandhi name.  See exposure of her by NRIs via full page Ad in New York Times ( http://GandhiHeritage.org ) in 2007  for which her proxies sued for 100 million dollars only to be dismissed by American courts.  Dr. Swamy mentioned it is odd case where you try to destroy the very country that she has taken so much.  When this woman is sick, it is Indian doctor in US that treated her.   No sovereign country would allow a foreigner, someone who has been looting from the very day she entered India from dubious insurance schemes, Maruti directorship,  KGB payments, Quattrochi. 

Now after 2009 elections she got so bold went on rampage of destroying India, the lives of 1.2 billion people with the help of very Indians.  How often India's history repeats itself. 

Regards,
Satya








Minutes mailed to ECI
Gentlemen,
On the 7th of August 2009, at the request of Kirit Somayia, Dr Anupam Saraph visited the ECI along with several technology experts. Security Expert Vijay Mukhi pointed out that the ECI should change its language that EVM's cannot be hacked as there is no technology that is hack proof. He also pointed out several holes in the EVM that can be used to compromise an EVM. Kirit Somayia highlighted the need to keep making improvements in the election process by seeking open and inclusive dialog with all stake-holders. He also highlighted the lack of audit of the votes or voters, as would exist in the finance profession. He asked the ECI to immediately switch to paper trail to EVMs.
Here is the summary of the points Dr Anupam Saraph raised with the ECI:
  1. Trust in EVMs: When people transact on an ATM and trust the machine in the wall with their hard earned money, the machine does NOT require any "observers", micro-observers", "agents of the bank", "agents of the Reserve Bank of India", "Representatives of the Account holder" etc. along with seals fixed on the machine by various persons, countersigned by others on specially printed paper from Nasik to build trust. Unfortunately, as indicated by the ECI during the meeting itself, the EVM has to be viewed in its totality, including the administrative checks and balances and the various processes. These include a paraphernelia of observers, micro-observers, polling agents, returning officers, counting agents etc. as well as several seals on paper printed at the government press in Nasik to ensure and create the perception of trust. The transaction slip that the ATM generates, the ability to check the balance anytime on the ATM or on a counter in the bank- even update a "passbook"- creates trust. The EVMs, however leave no such transaction trail and ability to build trust. They are purely faith based on the entire machinery and it is painful that the ECI is not giving adequate reasons to even build the faith in the machinery. The banking system also has a statutory Audit by a third party, not the manufacturer of the ATM or the bank. The EVM has no transaction trail, no audit and cannot be checked by anyone without the direction of the court. How many times had any audit been undertaken and where, by whom? Which of the "upgrade" features of EVMs were used on a regular basis and what were the results? Why instead was there no focus on simplifying the EVM to make it more trustable?
  2. Consolidating databases: The election commission is required to track information on voters, constituencies, candidates, votes etc. This information is collected, stored and maintained in various databases of the ECI in multiple formats, multiple copies and multiple locations. There is no way to tell the authentic one. A query to one may generate a different answer from the other. There needs to be a broaderopen and inclusive technology reform agenda beyond the EVMs.
  3. Tests and dummy data: The ECI must make public any tests, their schedule, the nature of such tests, the data used for such tests, the results obtained from such tests and the names of the persons and organizations responsible for such tests. Kirit Somayia asked the ECI to particularly comment on the queries raised by Prof Madhav Nalapat and Dr Anupam Saraph about the data available from the 6th of May.

ECI ResponsesEdit

  1. The ECI agreed that the simplification of the EVM was needed- the need for such an elaborate machinery should be done away with. They agreed to compile the list of audits undertaken, if any, and make them available. While conceding that none of the upgrade features had been used to generate reports, they said they were there in-case of direction by the court.
  2. The ECI agreed that it had need to consolidate the databases and ensure that the system would be less error prone. They agreed to create a "technology reform agenda" beyond the EVMs.
  3. The ECI said that tests are conducted on the "Gensys" software that transmits the results to the website. These tests are to ensure that the candidate name and results columns match. They also sad all such tests are clearly labeled as tests on the website. They were unable to explain why the data available on the 6th of May through the 15th of May on the ECI website was not labeled test, was changing, was coded, did not display the candidate name and why the results were not uploaded on to the spreadsheet. They agreed that they would send a written communication about this serious issue.
  4. The ECI conceded to the existence of holes, "easter eggs" in the software and the absence of any process other than "black-box" testing to confirm the source code on EVMs and rationalized saying that the proprietary nature of the technology, the elaborate administrative procedure and the seals made sure that the EVM was unhackable and safe.
  5. Even while arguing that the EVM was not a computer, but just a calculator, the ECI was closed to releasing the source or making the technology open-sourced. Their argument: open source will generate clones that compromise the process.

Actionable PointsEdit

  1. An open and inclusive dialog on process simplification to include transaction trail and independent auditabilityto be initiated by the ECI. The ECI should participate in the technology reform wiki already set up by the various stake-holders.
  2. The ECI to provide a detailed response on the manner it conducts tests and specifically the questions raised due to the availability of the 2009 results data in coded form between the 6th and 15th of May.
  3. The wiki community to list out case with examples of how open-source or closed-source technologies can create more trusted, highly secure and contemporary voting processes.
  4. The ECI to move to a paper trail to the EVM for all elections beginning immediately.
  5. The paper trail to be used as an audit record that must be counted independently at different locations by third parties during the counting process.

References:Edit

  1. Tracking the elections
  2. Questions about Indian democracy raised by the data on the ECI website
  3. Voting Reforms: Options in an imperfect world
  4. Copy of letter sent to the ECI requesting clarifications
  5. Researching the coded database
  6. Case for Election Reforms
  7. Review the 2009 Lok Sabha Election Process: Promises and Reality
  8. Results before Voting?
  9. EVM Issues
  10. Results before voting
  11. Requirements form the ECI
  12. Notes on the Meeting with the ECI

With best wishes
Sincerely
Read more...

India Inc. in debt-trap -- Vivek Kaul. Demand P-Note ban, resignation of PC.

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Rupee at 65: India Inc in a debt trap just when money is tighter

by  15 mins ago
Analysts Ashish Gupta, Kush Shah and Prashant Kumar of Credit Suisse in a report titled House of Debt – Revisited, dated August 14, 2013, put out numbers showing the same. They estimate that the gross debt of ten Indian corporate groups for the financial year 2012-2013 (i.e. the period between April 1, 2012 and March 31, 2013) stood at Rs 6,31,024.7 crore. Their debt has risen by 15 percent over the financial year 2011-2012 (i.e. the period between April 1, 2011 and March 31, 2012).
Reuters
Reuters
Interestingly, in the financial year 2006-07( i.e. the period between April 1, 2006 and March 31, 2007) the gross debt of these groups had stood at Rs 99,300 crore. So their debt has increased six fold in the period between March 31, 2007 and March 31, 2013.
And this has landed these groups (which include the likes of Videocon, Adani, Essar, JSW, Reliance ADA, Vedanta, GMR, GVK etc) into serious trouble. The overall interest coverage ratio of these groups in 2012-13, stood at 1.4. The interest coverage ratio is essentially a measure of the capability of a company to pay interest on its outstanding debt. It is calculated by dividing a company’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT or operating profit) for a year by the interest to be paid on the outstanding debt, for the same year.
An interest coverage ratio of 1.4 essentially means that for every Rs 1 of interest that the company has to pay, it makes Rs 1.4 of operating profit. This basically means that around 71.4 percent(1/1.4) of the operating profit of the ten groups cited in the report, will go towards interest payment. This is a very tricky situation to be in.
The interest coverage ratio of the ten corporate groups cited in the report has dropped from 1.6 as in FY 2011-12, to 1.4 in FY 2012-13 What this means is that in FY 2011-12, these groups would have had to pay 62.5 percent (1/1.6) of their operating profits to pay interest on their outstanding debt. That has now jumped to 71.4 percent.
In fact, some of the groups have an interest coverage ratio of less than one. This basically means that they are not making enough money to repay the interest on their debt. As the Credit Suisse analysts point out “Aggregate interest cover for these top ten groups has dropped from 1.6x to 1.4x. Interest cover ratios at groups such as Essar, GMR, GVK and Lanco are already under 1. Interest cover at Adani and Jaypee have also fallen to <1.5x. Interest coverage ratio has come down from 1.2x to 0.6x for Lanco Infratech…Similarly, for GVK infra, the coverage ratio has come down from 1.0x to 0.4x.”
In fact the situation gets much worse if one takes into account the fact that the groups are currently not expensing the entire interest cost in their profit and loss account. This is because the money raised through debt has been used to construct projects. A large part of these projects are currently under construction and haven’t come on stream. Hence, a lot of interest is currently being capitalised, which basically means that it is being shown on the asset side of a balance sheet and hasn’t been shown as an expense in the profit and loss account.
As the Credit Suisse analysts point out “ As most of these groups have capacities under construction, a large share of interest expense is also currently capitalised. With capitalised interest currently 30- 250 percent higher than the P&L expense, the interest burden may also sharply rise as projects come on stream.”
The depreciating rupee has been adding to the problem because a huge proportion of the outstanding debt of these corporate groups is in foreign currency. “Many corporates’ loans are 40-70 percent foreign currency denominated; therefore, the sharp depreciation in the rupee is adding to their debt burden. Adani Enterprise and Reliance Comm have the largest percentage of borrowings through forex loans,” write the analysts.
One dollar was worth around Rs 55 in mid May. Today it is worth Rs 65. Hence, this means that these corporate groups will have to pay more rupees to buy dollars to repay their foreign currency loans.
All this debt, also means that the situation can’t be good for Indian banks which have lent this money. As analysts Ashish Gupta and Prashant Kumar of Credit Suisse pointed out in report titled House of Debt and dated August 12, 2012, “Over the past five years, Indian banks have witnessed strong (20 percent CAGR) loan growth. However, this growth is increasingly being driven by a select few corporate groups. In FY12, over 20 percent of the incremental loans came from just ten groups. The total debt level of these ten (Adani, Essar, GMR, GVK, JSW, JPA, Lanco, Reliance ADA, Vedanta and Videocon) has jumped 5 times in the past five years (40 percent CAGR) and now equates to 13 percent of the total bank loans and 98 percent of the net worth of the banking system.”
The situation could have only gotten worse for Indian banks since then.
Of course the question is how did the big Indian corporate groups land up in this mess. As a recent report in The Hindu Business Line points out “Between 2002-03 and 2007-08, private corporate investment as a percentage of India’s GDP rose from 5.7 to 17.3. Subsequently, it fell to 13.4 in 2010-11, but was still higher than the single-digit levels till the early 2000s. The above investment binge was significantly financed through large-scale borrowings, contracted with the confidence that the projects executed would generate sufficient returns to service the debts. Moreover, the large differential between domestic and overseas interest rates, besides the belief in a perennially strong rupee, emboldened corporates to increasingly resort to ECBs (external commercial borrowings).”
Interest rates in India over the last few years have been higher in comparison to interest rates abroad. This is primarily because the Reserve Bank of India had been raising interest rates to tackle high inflation. At the same time the Western central banks had been running easy money policies, and were printing and pumping money into their respective economies. With a surfeit of money going around interest rates abroad were thus lower, leading to the Indian corporates borrowing abroad rather than in India.
The government helped corporates in this borrowing binge. As The Hindu Business Line report points out “All this was further actively encouraged by policymakers at the Finance Ministry, RBI and Planning Commission. Among other things, corporates were permitted to access up to $500 million of ECB under the ‘automatic approval’ route every year, which got subsequently enhanced to $750 million.”
But now with the rupee rapidly against the dollar, all this debt will end up creating huge problems for these overleveraged corporate groups. One way out of this mess is by generating money through the sale of assets that these groups have. The trouble here is that who do they sell to? As the Credit Suisse analysts pointed out in their August 2012 report “Given the high leverage levels, poor profitability and pressure from lenders, virtually all of the ten debt-heavy groups have initiated to divest part of their assets (cement plants/power/road projects). However, given that most of the domestic infra developers are already over-geared, demand for these assets may be limited.”
The chickens, as they say, will come home to roost for India Inc.
(Vivek Kaul is a writer. He tweets @kaul_vivek)

The tale of transfer of Thuthukudi Collector -- Vikatan (Tamil)

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தூத்துக்குடி கலெக்டர் தூக்கப்பட்ட கதை
Posted Date : 12:57 (10/08/2013)Last updated : 13:32 (10/08/2013)
ந்தக் கடற்கரையில் கறுப்பும் சிவப்புமான புது வகை நிறத்தில் மணல் சிதறிக் கிடக்கும். சிரித்து விளையாடும் சிறுவர் சிறுமியரும் கடலைப்போடும் காதலர்களும் அந்த மணலைக் கையில் எடுத்துப் பார்த்து ரசிப்பார்கள். அவர்களுக்குத் தெரியாது அது, விலை உயர்ந்த கார்னெட் மணல் என்று. 'கலைக் கண்ணோட்டத்தோடு பார்க்க வேண்டிய மணல் இல்லை அது; விலைக் கண்ணோட்டத்தோடு பார்க்க வேண்டியது’ என்பது சிலருக்கு மட்டும்தான் தெரிந்திருந்தது. அந்த மணலை வெளிநாட்டுக்கு அனுப்பினால் கோடி கோடியாக சம்பாதிக்கலாம் என்பதும் சிலருக்குத்தான் தெரியும். அந்த சிலரை அஸ்திரம்வைத்து விசாரணையை முடுக்கினார் தூத்துக்குடி மாவட்ட கலெக்டர் ஆஷிஸ் குமார். அன்றைய தினமே அவரை அங்கிருந்து மாற்றி சமூகநலத் துறையில் போட்டுவிட்டார்கள். 
ரெய்டு போனதுமே ஆஷிஸ் குமாருக்கு ஒரு போன் வந்துள்ளது. '24 மணி நேரத்துல உனக்கு டிரான்ஸ்ஃபர் வாங்கித் தர்றேன்’ என்று கெடுவைத்ததாம் அந்தக் குரல். அவர் எந்த அரசாங்கப் பதவியிலும் இருப்பவர் அல்ல. ஆனால், அதிகார நாற்காலிகளை உருவாக்கக் கூடியவர் என்று தூத்துக்குடி, திருநெல்வேலி, கன்னியாகுமரி வட்டாரத்து மீனவர்கள் சொல்கிறார்கள்.
கடந்த 6-ம் தேதி இந்த இடங்களில் ரெய்டு நடத்து​வதற்கு அதிகாரிகளை அனுப்பினார் கலெக்டர். அதற்கான முஸ்தீபுகளில் கடந்த 2-ம் தேதி இறங்கி உள்ளார். அதற்குள் சிலரால் எதிர்த் தரப்புக்கு விஷயம் போய், சென்னையில் உள்ள மூத்த அதிகாரி ஒருவருக்கும் தகவல் போயுள்ளது. அவர் ஆஷிஸ் குமாரை அழைத்து, 'நீங்கள் அந்த மணல் பகுதிகளில் ரெய்டு போகத் திட்டமிட்டுள்ளதாகக் கேள்விப்படுகிறேன். அந்த முடிவைக் கைவிடுங்கள்’ என்று சொல்லியிருக்கிறார். ரெய்டு நடக்கும்; அல்லது, நடக்காது என்ற எந்த உத்தரவாதத்தையும் அப்போது ஆஷிஸ் குமார் தரவில்லை​யாம். ரெய்டு தொடங்கியபோதும் அந்த அதிகாரி தொடர்புகொண்டுள்ளார். 'ரெய்டை நிறுத்த முடியாது’ என்று ஆஷிஸ் குமார் சொல்லியிருக்கிறார். இதுதான் அவரது பணிமாற்றத்துக்குக் காரணம் என்கிறார்கள்.
இதேபோன்ற மோதல் சில மாதங்களுக்கு முன்னால் நடந்தது. அமைச்சர்கள், ஆளும் கட்சிக்காரர்களது பரிந்துரைகளை மதிக்காமல் சில மாவட்ட கலெக்டர்கள், சத்துணவு அமைப்பாளர்களை நியமனம் செய்தார்கள். தகுதி அடைப்படையில் இந்த நியமனங்கள் நடந்தன. அப்போதைய விருதுநகர் கலெக்டர் பாலாஜி, சில வரைமுறைகளை வகுத்து அதன்படி நியமனங்களைச் செய்தார். அதற்காகவே அவர் மாற்றப்பட்டதாக செய்திகள் பரவியது. பாலாஜியைப் பின்பற்றி மேலும் சில கலெக்டர்கள் சத்துணவு அமைப்பாளர் நியமனங்களை முறைப்படி செய்தார்கள். அதில் ஒருவர் இந்த ஆஷிஸ் குமார். 'இந்த நியமனத்தை யாரும் தடுத்துவிடக் கூடாது என்பதற்காக, இரவோடு இரவாக சான்றிதழ்களைச் சரிபார்த்து சம்பந்தப்பட்டவர்கள் வீட்டுக்கு பணி ஆணையை வழங்கியவர் ஆஷிஸ் குமார்’ என்கிறார்கள். அப்படிப்பட்டவருக்குத்தான் இப்போது மணல் வடிவில் சிக்கல் வந்துள்ளது.  
கடற்கரை முழுவதும் கையில்!
திருநெல்வேலி, தூத்துக்குடி, கன்னியாகுமரி மாவட்ட கடற்கரை முழுவதும் கையில் வைத்துக்கொண்டு கார்னெட் மணல் ஏற்றுமதி செய்யும் தொழிலில் உலக அளவில் இரண்டாம் இடத்திலும் இந்திய அளவில் முதலிடத்திலும் இருந்துவருகிறார் வி.வி. மினரல் நிறுவனத்தின் உரிமையாளர் வைகுண்டராஜன். 'இவர் அனுமதிபெற்ற இடத்தைத் தாண்டி மணலை எடுத்து ஏற்றுமதி​செய்துள்ளாரா?’ என்பதுதான் மாவட்ட நிர்வாகம் கண்டுபிடிக்க நினைக்கும் விவகாரம். 'கடற்கரை, கடற்கரையை ஒட்டியுள்ள பகுதி, தனியாரின் பெரிய நிலம், அதோடு ஒட்டியுள்ள தனியாரின் சிறிய நிலம், அனுமதி வாங்கியிருக்கும் அரசு நிலம், அதோடு ஒட்டியுள்ள அரசு புறம்போக்கு என நிலப்பரப்புக்களை வெட்டி வெளிநாட்டுக்கு ஏற்றுமதி செய்துவருகிறார்களா என்பதை மாவட்ட நிர்வாகம் கண்காணிக்கத் தொடங்கியது. விதிமுறைகள் மீறப்படுவதாக மீனவர்கள் சிலர் தொடர்ந்து புகார் சொல்லி வந்தார்கள். வேம்பார் கடற்கரையோரப் பகுதிகளில் மட்டும் 30 முதல் 40 ஹெக்டேர் பரப்பில் சட்ட விரோதமாக மணல் அள்ளப்பட்டு வருவதாக டி.ஆர்.ஓ. நடத்திய விசாரணையில் தெரியவந்தது. இரண்டு மாதங்களுக்கு முன்பு சாத்தான்குளம் தாலுகா படுக்கப்பத்து பகுதியில் சட்டவிரோதமாக தாது மணல் எடுத்த நிறுவனத்துக்கு மூன்று கோடி ரூபாய் அபராதம் விதித்தனர். அதைப் போலவே வேம்பார் பகுதிகளிலும் முறைகேடு நடந்துள்ளதா என்பதைக் கண்காணிக்கவே கலெக்டர் முயற்சித்தார்'' என்கிறார்கள். இதுதான் அவரது பணி மாறுதலுக்குக் காரணம் என்கின்றனர்.  
''முறைகேடு நடந்துள்ளது உண்மைதான்!''
கலெக்டர் ஆஷிஸ் குமாரிடம் பேசினோம். ''வைப்பாறு, வேம்பார் பகுதியில் வருவாய் துறை, சுங்கத் துறை, காவல் துறை கொண்ட டீம் ரெய்டு நடத்தினார்கள். அதில் வைப்பாறு கிராமத்தில் அரசு புறம்போக்கு நிலம், நிலம் அளவை செய்யப்பட்டாத நிலம் மற்றும் குத்தகை வழங்கப்பட்ட நிலத்துக்கு அருகில் நில அளவை செய்யப்படாத 85.611 கன அடி அளவிலான நிலபரப்பில் இருந்து 2,39,712 மெட்ரிக் டன் அளவில் கனிமங்களை வி.வி. குழும நிறுவனம் முறைகேடாக அள்ளியிருப்பது கண்டுபிடிக்கப்பட்டிருக்கிறது. அரசு உத்தரவின்படி எல்லா மணல் குவாரிகளையும் நாங்கள் கண்காணித்துக்கொண்டுதான் வந்தோம். அதிலும் வைகுண்டராஜன், அவரது சகோதரர் பி.எம்.ஜி நிறுவனம் ஆகியவை தவறு செய்துவருவதாக மீனவர்களும் பொதுமக்களும் புகார் சொன்னார்கள். ரகசியமாக முதலில் இதனைக் கண்காணித்தோம். உண்மை என்று தெரிந்தது. முதலில் படுக்கபத்தில் உள்ள பி.எம்.சி-யை ரெய்டு செய்தோம். விதியை மீறி இரண்டு லட்சத்து 82 ஆயிரத்து 744 மெட்ரிக் டன் கூடுதலாக எடுத்திருந்தனர். அதற்கு மூன்று கோடியே 10 லட்சத்து 25 ஆயிரத்து 250 ரூபாய் அபராதம் விதித்தோம். அங்கிருந்து எடுக்கப்பட்ட தாது மணல் டெஸ்ட்டுக்கு அனுப்பப்பட்டு இருக்கிறது. உறுதிசெய்த பின்னர் இந்த அபராதத் தொகை மேலும் அதிகரிக்கலாம். அதற்கு பிறகுதான் வேம்பாரிலும் வைப்பாறிலும் ரெய்டு நடந்தது. தனியார், அரசு புறம்போக்கு நிலத்திலும் அள்ளப்பட்டிருப்பதால் அந்த நிறுவனம் மீது சிவில் மற்றும் கிரிமினல் வழக்குப் பதிவுசெய்ய வி.ஏ.ஓ. மூலம் போலீஸில் புகார் செய்யப்​பட்டிருக்கிறது'' என்றார்.
''இதுவரையிலும் ஏன் இதுபோன்ற நடவடிக்கை எடுக்கவில்லை?'' என்று கேட்டோம். ''அதிகாரிகள் பயந்திருக்​கிறார்கள். பெரிய அதிகாரிகளே பயப்படும்போது சிறியவர்கள் என்ன செய்வார்கள்? நெல்லை, தூத்துக்குடி, கன்னியாகுமரி மாவட்டங்களில் இதுபோன்று குவாரிகள் இருக்கிறது. அதிலும் இதுபோன்று தவறு நடந்திருக்கலாம். இனிமேல் இதுபோன்று நடக்கக் கூடாது என்பதற்​காகத்தான் இந்த நடவடிக்கை'' என்றார்.
''உங்களை யாராவது மிரட்டினார்களா?'' என்று கேட்டபோது, ''இந்த நடவடிக்கைகளுக்காக என்னை யாரும் நேரடியாக மிரட்டவில்லை'' என்றவர், ''ரெய்டு நடத்தியதால்தான் உடனே இடமாற்றம் நடந்ததா என்பது எனக்குத் தெரியவில்லை. அரசு என்னை இந்தப் பணியில் நியமித்தது. சிறப்பாகச் செயல்பட்டோம். வேறு பணிக்கு அழைத்திருக்கிறது. அதில் வேலை செய்வோம். அவ்வளவுதான். இதில் ஒன்றும் விசேஷம் இல்லை. மாவட்டத்துக்குத் தேவையானத் திட்டங்கள் நிறையச் செய்ய முயற்சி செய்தோம். அதில் பிடிக்காத சிலர் புகார் சொல்லத்தான் செய்வார்கள்'' என்றார் ஆஷிஸ் குமார்.
'இது நெடுநாள் புகார்!’
இந்த விவகாரம் பற்றி ஓய்வுபெற்ற ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரி சுந்தரம், நம்மிடம் பேசினார். இதுதொடர்பாக அரசுக்கு தொடர்ந்து புகார் கடிதங்களை அனுப்பி வந்தவர் இவர்தான். தூத்துக்குடி துறைமுகத்தில் முதல் சேர்மனாக இருந்தவர். நெல்லை மாவட்டத்தில் தூத்துக்குடியும் சேர்ந்து இருந்தபோது, கலெக்டராகவும் இருந்தவர். அந்த அனுபவத்துடன் சில தகவல்களைச் சொன்னார்.
''வி.வி. மினரல்ஸ் அதிபர் வைகுண்டராஜன், தென் மாவட்டங்களின் கடற்கரை ஓரத்தில் தனி அரசாங்கம் நடத்தி வருகிறார். தென் மாவட்டங்களின் கடற்கரை பகுதிகளில் குவிந்துகிடக்கும் மணலில் கார்னெட், இலும்னைட், ரூட்டைல், ஜிர்கான், மோனசைட் என்ற விலை உயர்ந்த கனிமங்கள் கலந்துகிடக்கிறது. இதை அந்த மணலில் இருந்து பிரித்தெடுத்து, வெளிநாடுகளுக்கு ஏற்றுமதி செய்வதுதான் இவர்களது தொழில். மத்திய அரசின் சுற்றுச்சூழல் துறை, மாநில அரசின்  மாசுக்கட்டுப்பாட்டு வாரியம், கடலோர பாதுகாப்புச் சட்டம், வன இலாகா என பல துறைகளில் அனுமதிபெற வேண்டும். அவர்கள் அனுமதி வழங்கிய பின், அந்தந்தத் துறைகளின் விதிமுறைகளைப் பின்பற்ற வேண்டும். ஆனால், இங்கு தொழில் செய்பவர்கள் பெரும்பாலும் விதிமுறைகள் எதையும் பின்பற்றவும் இல்லை. கடற்கரை ஓரங்களில் மணலை அள்ளி சலிப்பதற்கு மனித ஆற்றலைத்தான் பயன்படுத்த வேண்டும். ஆனால், ராட்சத எந்திரங்கள் டன் கணக்கில் மணலை அள்ளிக்கொண்டிருக்கின்றன. கனிமங்கள் பிரிக்கப்பட்ட பிறகு அந்த மணல் மீண்டும் பழைய இடத்தில் கொட்டப்படுவதும் இல்லை.
ஏதாவது ஒரு பட்டா குவாரிக்கு மட்டும் அனுமதி வாங்கிக்கொள்பவர்கள், அதைக் காட்டியே தூத்துக்குடியில் இருந்து கன்னியாகுமரி வரை உள்ள அனைத்துப் புறம்போக்கு நிலங்களையும் கபளீகரம் செய்துகொண்டிருக்கிறார்கள். போலீஸ், வருவாய்த் துறை, கனிம வளம், வருமான வரி, வன இலாகா, மாசுக்காட்டுப்பாடு வாரியம், சுற்றுச்சூழல் என சகல துறைகளும் இதுவரை கண்ணை மூடிக்கொண்டு இருக்கிறது. இந்தப் பகுதியில் ஒரு சிலரைத் தவிர வேறு யாரும் தொழில் தொடங்க முடியாது. அப்படியே யாராவது ஒருவர் தொடங்கினால்கூட, அவர்களால் அந்தத் தொழிலை நடத்தவே முடியாது. அரசாங்க சம்பளம் வாங்கும் ஒரு சில கைக்கூலிகள் உதவி இல்லாமல் இதனை யாரும் செய்ய முடியாது.
எந்த அரசாங்கமும் இவர்கள் மீது நடவடிக்கை எடுப்பது இல்லை. காரணம், எல்லா அரசாங்கமும் அவர்களது அரசாங்கம்தான். அதற்கு நிதர்சனமான சாட்சிதான் தூத்துக்குடி மாவட்ட கலெக்டர் ஆஷிஸ் குமார். குவாரியில் சோதனை நடத்தியதற்காக 24 மணி நேரத்தில் அவர், பொறுப்பில் இருந்து தூக்கப்பட்டுள்ளார். அப்படி என்றால், நடக்கும் அரசாங்கம் யாருடையது? இந்த விவகாரங்கள் பற்றி தலைமைச் செயலாளர், உள்துறைச் செயலாளர், மத்திய அரசின் சம்பந்தப்பட்ட அனைத்துத் துறை செயலாளர்களுக்கும் இதுவரை 1,500 கடிதங்களை ஆதாரங்களுடன் அனுப்பியுள்ளேன். ஆனால், இதுவரை குறைந்தபட்ச விசாரணைகூட நடக்கவில்லை. முதல் முறையாக ஆஷிஸ் குமார் நம்பிக்கை அளிக்கும் வகையில் செயல்பட்டுள்ளார். அவரைப்போன்ற அதிகாரிகள் வர வேண்டும். இந்த மாஃபியாக்களிடம் இருந்து மக்களின் சொத்தை பாதுகாக்க வேண்டும்'' என்றார்.
''இது எங்களை ஒழித்துக்கட்டும் முயற்சி!''
ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரி சுந்தரத்தின் குற்றச்சாட்டுகள் பற்றி வி.வி. மினரல்ஸ் தரப்பைத் தொடர்புகொண்டு கேட்டோம். அவர்கள் சார்பில், வழக்கறிஞர் ரவீந்திரன் துரைசாமி நம்மிடம் பேசினார். ''வி.வி. மினரல்ஸ் முறையான அனுமதிகளைப் பெற்று, அனைத்து விதிமுறைகளையும் சரியாகப் பின்பற்றித்தான் தொழில் நடத்தி வருகிறது. அதற்கான அனைத்து ஆவணங்களும் எங்களிடம் இருக்கிறது. அதை உரியவர்கள் எப்போது வேண்டுமானாலும் சோதித்துப் பார்த்துக்கொள்ளலாம். ஓய்வுபெற்ற ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரி சுந்தரம், எங்களின் தொழில் போட்டியாளர் தயா தேவதாஸ் என்பவருடைய ஊழியர். தயா தேவதாஸ் சொல்லச் சொல்வதை சுந்தரம் சொல்கிறார். இதுதான் எங்களைப் பற்றிய அபாண்டமான குற்றச்சாட்டின் பின்னணி.
யார் வேண்டுமானாலும் விதிமுறைகளுக்கு உட்பட்டு, இந்தப் பகுதியில் நிலம் வாங்கி எங்களைப்போல தொழில் செய்யலாம். அதை நாங்கள் தடுக்கவே முடியாது. அப்படிச் செய்ய முயற்சி எடுக்காமல், எங்களுடைய தொழில் போட்டியாளர்கள் ஒரு சில அரசியல் மற்றும் பத்திரிகை பிரமுகர்களைக் கையில் வைத்துக்கொண்டு எங்களை மொத்தமாக இந்தத் தொழிலில் இருந்து ஒழித்துக்கட்ட நினைக்கிறார்கள். அதுதான் இதுபோன்ற அபாண்டமான குற்றச்சாட்டுகள் வரக் காரணம். இவர்கள் இங்குள்ள மீனவர்களையும் தூண்டிவிட்டு எங்களை பிளாக்மெயில் செய்கிறார்கள். இதுபோன்ற எல்லா பிரச்னைகளையும் நாங்கள் சட்டப்படி சந்தித்துக்கொண்டு இருக்கிறோம். இனிமேலும் சந்திப்போம்'' என்றவரிடம், ஆஷிஸ் குமார் இடமாற்றம் பற்றிக் கேட்டோம்.
''கலெக்டர் ஆஷிஸ் குமார் இடமாற்றத்துக்கு நாங்கள் காரணம் என்று சொல்வது நகைச்சுவையாக உள்ளது. ஒரு முதலமைச்சர் நினைத்தால் மட்டும்தான் ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரிகளை இடமாற்றம் செய்ய முடியும். அதில் எங்களைப் போன்றவர்கள் எப்படி தலையிட முடியும்? ஆஷிஸ் குமார் மீது இந்த மாவட்டத்தில் ஏராளமான புகார்கள் இருக்கின்றன. அவருடைய மகள் பிறந்தநாள் விழாவைக் காரணம் காட்டி பல லட்சங்களை அவர் வசூல் செய்தார், கோடிக்கணக்கான மதிப்பில் பரிசுப்​பொருள்கள் பெற்றார் என்றெல்லாம் சொல்கிறார்கள். அந்த அடிப்படையில் அவர் மாற்றப்பட்டு இருக்கலாம்'' என்றார்.
பரிசுப் பொருட்கள் வாங்கினாரா?
கடந்த சில மாதங்களுக்கு முன்னர் தூத்துக்குடியில் 25-வது ஆண்டு வெள்ளி விழா கொண்டாட்டங்களை நடத்தினார் கலெக்டர். ஒவ்வொரு துறை சார்பிலும் நிகழ்ச்சிகள் நடத்தப்பட்டன. அந்த விழாவுக்காக தொழில் நிறுவனங்கள், வியாபார பிரமுகர்களிடம் வசூல் நடத்தப்பட்டதாகவும் அதற்கு சரியான கணக்கு காட்டப்படவில்லை என்றும் குற்றசாட்டுக்கள் எழுந்தன. அதேபோல் கலெக்டரின் மகள் பியரல் பிறந்தநாள் விழாவுக்கு முக்கிய பிரமுகர்கள் அழைக்கப்பட்டு இருந்ததாகவும் அவர்கள் தாராளமாக அன்பளிப்புக்​களை வழங்கியதாகவும் கூறப்படுகிறது.
இந்தக் குற்றச்சாட்டுகள் அனைத்தையும் ஆஷிஸ் குமார் மறுக்கிறார். ''உரிய கணக்கை அரசிடம் தெரிவிப்பேன்'' என்கிறார் அவர்.
கடல் ஒட்டி இருக்கும் கலெக்டர் பங்களா அருகில், வேறு வேலைக்கு ஒதுக்கப்பட்ட நிதியைக்கொண்டு நடைபாதை, குடில் அமைத்ததாகவும்... அந்தப் பணிக்கு முறையாக சம்பந்தப்பட்ட துறை அதிகாரிகளிடம் அனுமதி பெறவில்லை என்றும் குற்றசாட்டுக்கள் கூறப்பட்டு வந்தன. குற்றசாட்டுக்கள் அவ்வப்போது தூண்டப்பட்டு வந்ததை தொடர்ந்து, அரசு சார்பில் விசாரணை நடத்த உத்தரவு விடப்பட்டிருந்ததாக சொல்லப்படுகிறது.  
ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரிகள் போர்க்கொடி?
ஆஷிஸ் குமார் மாற்றம் ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரிகளை அதிர்ச்சி அடைய வைத்திருக்கிறது. 'மணல் திருட்டில் ஈடுபட்ட நபருக்கு ஆதரவாக நேர்மையான அதிகாரிகளை அரசாங்கம் பழிவாங்கினால், இனி எந்த அதிகாரியாவது சுற்றுச்சூழலுக்கும் மக்களின் எதிர்காலத்துக்கும் வேட்டுவைக்கும் மணல் கொள்ளையர்கள் மீது சட்டப்படி நடவடிக்கை எடுப்பார்களா?’ என கொதிக்கிறார்கள்.
இதுகுறித்து நம்மிடம் பேசிய மூத்த ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரி ஒருவர், ''மதுரையில் பி.ஆர்.பி. நிறுவனத்துக்கு எதிராக துணிச்சலாக நடவடிக்கை மேற்கொண்ட அன்சுல் மிஸ்ராவை அங்கிருந்து மாற்றியதே தவறான முன்னுதாரணம். இப்போது தூத்துக்குடி மாவட்ட ஆட்சியராக இருந்த ஆஷிஸ் குமாரை அதேபோல் மாற்றியிருக்கிறார்கள். இதற்கு முன்பு குமரி மாவட்ட ஆட்சியராக இருந்த ஜோதி நிர்மலா துணிச்சலாக செயல்பட்டார். அவரையும் கடந்த ஆட்சியாளர்கள் உடனே மாற்றினார்கள். எந்த அரசாங்கமாக இருந்தாலும் உயர் மட்ட அதிகாரிகளை இந்தத் தொழில் அதிபர்கள் கையில் வைத்திருக்கிறார்கள்.  
நியாயமான அதிகாரிகளுக்கு பக்க பலமாக இருக்க வேண்டிய அரசாங்கம், இப்படிப்பட்டவர்களுக்குத் துணையாக செயல்படுவது நல்லது அல்ல. உ.பி-யில் ஒரு ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரிக்கு நேர்ந்த அவலத்துக்கு இணையானது இந்த விஷயம். அதனால் இதனையும் எங்கள் ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். சங்கத்தில் விவாதித்து அடுத்த கட்ட செயல்பாடு பற்றி ஆலோசிக்க இருக்கிறோம்'' என்றார் அந்த அதிகாரி.
மொத்தத்தில் தமிழகத்தில் இருக்கும் ஐ.ஏ.எஸ். அதிகாரிகள் இந்த சம்பவத்தால் அதிர்ந்திருப்பது நிஜம்.
- பி.ஆண்டனிராஜ், எஸ்.சரவணபெருமாள், ஜோ.ஸ்டாலின்
அட்டை மற்றும் படங்கள்: ஏ.சிதம்பரம் http://news.vikatan.com/article.php?module=news&aid=18149

Why Mumbai photojournalist gangrape violates all its women -- Deepanjana Pal

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यत्र नार्यस्तु पूज्यंते रमंते तत्र देवताः।

यत्र तास्तु न पूज्यंते तत्र सर्वाफलक्रियाः॥

Where women are worshipped, goddesses dwell.
Where they are not worshipped, all actions are fruitless.

Why Mumbai photojournalist gangrape violates all its women

by  20 mins ago
At 6pm yesterday, a gang rape took place in central Mumbai. News of this terrible incident reached us a few hours later, after the young woman — a photojournalist — was taken to a hospital and reports of her rape appeared in a couple of city publications. (See here and here.) Predictably and understandably, outrage swelled through social media. Along with expressions of shock, horror, grief and disbelief, there was also curiosity.
It seems everyone wants to know what precisely happened and to whom it happened. How old is she? Where does she work? What was she wearing? How many people raped her? Where was she raped? How long did they rape her? What did her companion do? What kind of work makes a ‘girl’ go walking around an area ‘known’ to be frequented by drug addicts? So great was the curiosity that some, thinking themselves the Indian Twitter equivalent of Wikileaks, decided to let their followers know details about the raped woman. After a few minutes, better sense prevailed and the tweets were deleted, but hashtags and retweets remain.
Perhaps it’s understandable. This is a horrific, shocking incident and it’s easy for paranoid minds to confuse curiosity with perverseness and/or voyeurism.
So I’m here to answer the regular questions.
PTI
Image from PTI
Yesterday evening, at around 6pm, I was gang raped. I wasn’t alone, I wasn’t drunk, I wasn’t provocatively dressed. I was doing what most people do at that hour: I was working. I’d done everything that girls and women are told to do in order to stay safe – it wasn’t dark, a male colleague was with me, I wasn’t in a particularly disreputable part of town – and it didn’t help. I was raped by five men and then left there, at the site of the crime.
You can find out all about me – where I work, what I like, who I know – by putting my name in Google. I also tweet a lot, so going through my Twitter timeline will give you many details about me. If you want to know what I look like, do an image search with my full name or look in Facebook.
Now that you’ve got all you need to imagine the gangrape better, I have a few questions for which I’d love answers.
The Mumbai Police has rounded up nine suspects, which is heartening, but this incident isn’t over even if my rapists are among those nine. How long before the guilty are caught and sentenced? Tell me about the men who did this to me. How old are they? What do they do? Why did they think that a woman is fair game for rape? Did they enjoy it? Have they raped other women? How did they think that they could get away with raping me? What did they do afterwards? Are they actually going to get away with it?
Perhaps it’s because the woman who was raped yesterday is a journalist, or because I’m often walking through unbustling streets at and after 6pm, or because reports of rape are becoming way too regular, but this latest incident feels like radioactive lead in my blood.
I, like every woman in Mumbai, have held on desperately to the hope that women are safe in this city. Yesterday, that faith was brutally violated. I was not subjected to the terrible ordeal that the young woman suffered, but the rapists made me and every other working woman in Mumbai bleed when they gangraped one of our tribe.
The dictionary defines ‘victim’ as a person who has been “harmed, injured, or killed as a result of a crime, accident, or other event or action.” The journalist who was gang raped yesterday has been seriously injured, but she’s no victim. She’s given the police enough details for them to be able to round up suspects. She has valour and strength and all our prayers for a complete recovery of body and spirit. She is a survivor, I am a victim. As are thousands of women who aren’t safe in a country that demands of them patriotism, sacrifices and taxes.
It might have been better if we were numbed by the constant reports of violence committed against women, but I’m not immune to the toxicity of rape yet. So I have one question: where is a woman safe in India?
Statistics tell us the largest percentage of sexual predators in India lurk within family and close friends, so homes are dangerous spaces. The streets are unsafe even when it’s light and you have company. Public transport is the least secure because curtained by crowds, sexual harassment is painfully easy. Private transport is so fraught with danger that certain car models are popularly known as ‘rape-mobiles’.
So where would you have us women go?
No, I wasn’t really raped yesterday. It was someone else, but I’m making this about me not just because I’m sickened by voyeurism masquerading as debate, but also because these crimes inflict physically suffering upon one woman but are committed against all women in this city and country. It is personal. It could have been any one of us. It happened to her, yes, but a tiny fraction of her experience was felt by all of us working women in India.
What would you have us do to be and feel safe?
To the police, the legal system, the political establishment, the men who think women are fair game for rape and the people who foster rapists: what will you do to make sure we’re not violated again and again and again?

SoniaG UPA gifts RIL 3 times gas cost, undermines national interest

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GOVT GIFTS RIL 3 TIMES GAS COST

Friday, 23 August 2013 | PNS | New Delhi
Petroleum Minister Veerappa Moily has emerged as the most vocal proponent of the massive hike in price of natural gas, but just three weeks ago his Ministry submitted to the Standing Committee on Finance that the cost of production from the KG Basin was a mere $2.74 mmBtu (million metric British thermal units).
Despite such a low cost of production, the Government recently hiked natural gas price to $8.4 mmBtu, creating a situation where Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) will gain a huge profit. The price tag of $2.74 was communicated to the Parliamentary panel on August 2 by the Petroleum Ministry.
“The cost of production of RIL in KG-D6 block in 2011-12 was $2.48 mmBtu excluding levies and $2.74 mmBtu including levies. The figures are computed from financial statements of 2011-12, based on projected levels of production,” Petroleum Ministry told the panel. At present the purchase price of domestically produced natural gas is $4.2. The controversies erupted when in June the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs increased the purchasing price to $8.2.
Attaching the Petroleum Ministry’s admission of the actual cost of production from the KG Basin, veteran CPI leader Dasgupta in a letter urged Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to revisit the exorbitant pricing of natural gas. “We have been persistently raising the question of verifying the cost of production per unit in RIL’s KG Basin production of natural gas before deciding upon the process of pricing. No governmental agency has clarified this question to us. Even the Finance Secretary, while deposing before the Standing Committee on Finance, bluntly stated that evaluating the cost of production was not their job,” Dasgupta wrote. 
He pointed out that nowhere did the Rangarajan Committee speak of the cost of production. "If the cost per unit is only $2.74, then how has the Rangarajan Committee come to the conclusion that $8.4 per unit should be given to the contractor? Evidently it is a case of lack of due diligence. The next question that arises is, how did the Cabinet approve the price that is almost four times the production cost, so hurriedly?" Dasgupta asked.
The CPI leader had already approached the Supreme Court and the notice was issued to the Government as well as Petroleum Minister Veerappa Moily on the gas pricing controversy. Dasgupta has been claiming that the price hike was aimed at providing a huge benefit to RIL. Dasgupta is sure to place the new revelation before the apex court on the next date of hearing in the first week of September.
"I fervently request you to revisit the question of pricing of natural gas to be given to RIL and clear the air of suspicion that the Government had only acted to benefit the corporate giant, undermining national interest," said Dasgupta.

http://www.dailypioneer.com/todays-newspaper/govt-gifts-ril-3-times-gas-cost.html

US dollar sinks India's economy -- MD Nalapat. Thanks to under-rated economists like MMS and PC and over-rated economist like SoniaG

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Friday, August 23, 2013, Shawal 15, 1434 AH

US dollar sinks India’s economy

Geopolitical notes from India
M D Nalapat
Friday, August 23, 2013 - During 1977-79,when a State of Emergency was in force across India, LK Advani said about the media that “when they were asked to bend, they began to crawl”. The same can be said about India’s Prime Minister, the reticent economist Manmohan Singh and his response to any “request” from Washington. In the past, Delhi would often sway to the beat from Moscow, thereby refusing to condemn even egregious acts of high-handedness such as the military conquest of Czechoslovakia in the 1950s and the occupation of Afghanistan in 1979. 

What took place in Czechoslovakia was a particularly horrible crime, given that this small but gallant country had been occupied by Hitler just two decades before Soviet tanks rolled into the streets of Prague. Three years later, more than four million German soldiers streamed across the USSR border and sought to subjugate that nation, a huge miscalculation on Hitler’s part, because the people of the USSR fought the Nazi armies to a standstill on the outskirts of Moscow within five months of the invasion. The world owes a lot to the people of the then Soviet Union for having battered into pulp the Nazi war machine. 

Interestingly during World War-II, the leaders of India’s freedom movement adopted a policy of non-alignment between the Allies and the Axis, the single biggest factor in the post-1942 (“Quit India Declaration”) embrace by London of Mohammad Ali Jinnah and his concept of a separate state for the Muslims of India. Manmohan Singh is therefore in exalted company when he takes decisions that are less than optimal from the viewpoint of India’s national interest. One of the most significant has been his repeated rejection of offers by Iran to enter into long-term contracts for the supply of oil to India at concessional prices. Had this offer been accepted, with its corollary of the medium of exchanging being not dollars but rupees, the Indian currency would not have entered into the free fall that Manmohan Singh’s dogged dedication to following the dictates of Washington has caused. 

Any sane individual without a vested interest in the US dollar would testify that the currency is in the same position as the British pound was during the 1920s,an international medium of exchange whose fundamentals did not support such an exalted role. As the US is doing now, during the 1920s London borrowed — in effect — from itself, because British pounds were the international medium of exchange. The inherent weakness of the currency and the distortions caused by its widespread use in international commerce helped create the 1929 Great Depression, which gave way only after the world was plunged into a reflationary war.

If in the 1920s it was the British pound that was hugely overvalued and overused, since the 2008 financial crash that place has been taken by the US dollar. The crash of the financial system in the US during 2008 showed that those responsible for the health of the dollar were not to be trusted with such a sensitive task. Rather than ensure that the US dollar was anchored on sound fundamentals, Wall Street looked only at its own profits, and at the expense of the rest of the world.

Those credulous enough to believe in the US dollar have paid a huge financial price for their trust, and yet are in no hurry to move away from a currency that is hugely overvalued in terms of the huge debt that the US has. While the previous NDA government headed by A B Vajpayee was also influenced by the dollar, it can be said that Manmohan Singh and his team have been dominated by the dollar. From the start, the PM and his economic team have concentrated on multiplying the benefits earned by those who ran away from the rupee and clung on to the dollar. Thus, those in India who trusted the rupee have been losers on a catastrophic scale, while those who shared Manmohan Singh’s affinity for the dollar have prospered. Those making dollar deposits in the Indian banking system get returns of 20% and more in dollars, while those unwise enough to have placed their confidence in the rupee have seen the real value of their capital fall sharply. 

This year itself, the rupee has lost nearly 40% of its inherent value through the fall in the value of the rupee (by 25% this year alone) and relentless inflation. Had the Prime Minister been less deferential towards the US dollar, he would have taken advantage of BRICS by spearheading a move to get these five countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) to use their own currencies while trading. He would have instructed the Ministry of Petroleum to source as much as possible of India’s oil imports from producers willing to give discounts, such as Iran and perhaps even Iraq, were that country to accept India as a reliable strategic partner. Instead, the PM has shunned Tehran and has so annoyed that important capital that an Indian ship has been impounded by Tehran on the grounds of “oil spill”. Clearly, the PM’s bending over backwards, forwards and sideways to please the US has been noticed in Teheran, as it has in most other capitals of the world. 

Next month, Manmohan Singh travels to New York for the exalted purpose of making yet another forgettable speech at the UN General Assembly. Much of his staff has been engaged in begging the Obama administration to spare 20 minutes of the time of the President of the US to have a meeting with India’s PM. Reports are that the Obama team is insisting that Manmohan Singh meet Pakistan PM Nawaz Sharif in New York as a condition for President Obama meeting him. Given the hunger of India’s PM to follow the advice dished out to him by Washington, it may be that Manmohan Singh ignores the political risk involved in a meeting with Nawaz Sharif and schedules a meeting, just so that he himself can get some face time with Obama. 

That such a summit will get him zero extra votes is a slice of political reality that is ignored by the bureaucrat who became Union Finance Minister in 1991 when I G Patel refused the job. Those close to Patel say that the latter’s private comment on Manmohan Singh was that he was “over-rated as an economist and under-rated as a politician”. The collapse of the Indian economy under Manmohan, combined with the PM’s success in continuously holding on to the PM’s job longer than any other incumbent save Jawaharlal Nehru, shows that Patel was spot on target.

—The writer is Vice-Chair, Manipal Advanced Research Group, UNESCO Peace Chair & Professor of Geopolitics, Manipal University, Haryana State, India.
http://pakobserver.net/detailnews.asp?id=216087#.UhbZ7WyWvCI.gmail

How India got its funk - Economist. With SoniaG, MMS, PC as economic pundits, Indian economy is in shambles.

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India's economy

How India got its funk

India’s economy is in its tightest spot since 1991. Now, as then, the answer is to be bold













IN MAY America’s Federal Reserve hinted that it would soon start to reduce its vast purchases of Treasury bonds. As global investors adjusted to a world without ultra-cheap money, there has been a great sucking of funds from emerging markets. Currencies and shares have tumbled, from Brazil to Indonesia, but one country has been particularly badly hit.
On August 14th jumpy officials tightened capital controls in an attempt to stop locals taking money out of the country (seearticle). That scared foreign investors, who worry that India may freeze their funds too. The risk now is of a credit crunch and a self-fulfilling panic that pushes the rupee down much further, fuelling inflation. Policymakers recognise that the country is in its tightest spot since the balance-of-payments crisis of 1991.
Not so long ago India was celebrated as an economic miracle. In 2008 Manmohan Singh, the prime minister, said growth of 8-9% was India’s new cruising speed. He even predicted the end of the “chronic poverty, ignorance and disease, which has been the fate of millions of our countrymen for centuries”. Today he admits the outlook is difficult. The rupee has tumbled by 13% in three months. The stockmarket is down by a quarter in dollar terms. Borrowing rates are at levels last seen after Lehman Brothers’ demise. Bank shares have sunk.





How to lose friends and alienate people
India’s troubles are caused partly by global forces beyond its control. But they are also the consequence of a deadly complacency that has led the country to miss a great opportunity.
During the 2003-08 boom, when reforms would have been relatively easy to introduce, the government failed to liberalise markets for labour, energy and land. Infrastructure was not improved enough. Graft and red tape got worse.
Private companies have slashed investment. Growth has slowed to 4-5%, half the rate during the boom. Inflation, at 10%, is worse than in any other big economy. Tycoons who used to cheer India’s rise as a superpower now warn of civil unrest.
As well as undermining 1.2 billion people’s hopes of prosperity, failure to reform dragged down the rupee. Restrictive labour laws and weak infrastructure make it hard for Indian firms to export. Inflation has led people to import gold to protect their savings. Both factors have swollen the current-account deficit, which must be financed by foreign capital. Add in the foreign debt that must be rolled over, and India needs to attract $250 billion in the next year, more than any other vulnerable emerging economy.
A year ago the new finance minister, Palaniappan Chidambaram, tried to kick-start the economy. He has attempted to push key reforms, clear bottlenecks and help foreign investors. But he has lukewarm support within his own party and faces obstructionist opposition. Obstacles to growth, such as fuel shortages for power plants, remain. Foreign firms find nothing has changed. Meanwhile, bad debts have risen at state-run banks: 10-12% of their loans are dud. With an election due by May 2014, some fear that the Congress-led government will now take a more populist tack. A costly plan to subsidise food hints at this.
Stopping the rot
To prevent a slide into crisis, the government needs first to stop making things worse. Those capital controls backfired, yet the urge to tinker runs deep: on August 19th officials slapped duties on televisions lugged in through airports. The authorities must accept that 2013 is not 1991. Then the state nearly bankrupted itself trying to defend a pegged exchange rate. Now the rupee floats, and the state has no foreign debt to speak of. A weaker currency will break some firms with foreign loans, but poses no direct threat to the government’s solvency.
And so the Reserve Bank of India must let the rupee find its own level. The currency has not yet wildly overshot estimates of fundamental value. Raghuram Rajan, the central bank’s incoming head, should aim to control inflation, not micromanage one of the world’s most traded currencies.
Second, the government must get its finances in order. The budget deficit has been as high as 10% of GDP in recent years. This year the government must hold down its deficit (including those of individual states) to 7% of GDP. It is already cutting fuel subsidies, and—notwithstanding the pressures in the run-up to an election—should do so faster.
This is not enough to fix the government’s finances, though. Only 3% of Indians pay income tax, so the government’s tax take is puny. A proposed tax on goods and services, known as GST, would drag more of the economy into the net. It is stuck in endless cross-party talks. If the government can rally itself before the election to push for one long-term reform, this is the one it should go for.
Last, the government, with the central bank, should force the zombie public-sector banks to recapitalise. In 2009 America did “stress tests” to repair its banks. India should follow. Injecting funds into banks would widen the deficit, but the surge in confidence would be worth it.
There are glimmers of hope: exports picked up in July, narrowing the trade gap. But India faces a difficult year, with jittery global markets and an election to boot. Even if it scrapes past the election without a full-blown financial crisis, the next government must do much, much more to change India. Over the coming decade tens of millions of young people will have to find jobs where none currently exists. Generating the growth to create them will mean radical deregulation of protected sectors (of which retail is only the most obvious); breaking up state monopolies, from coal to railways; reforming restrictive labour laws; and overhauling India’s infrastructure of roads, ports and power.
The calamity of 1991 led to liberalising reforms that ended decades of stagnation and allowed a spurt of fast growth. This latest brush with disaster could produce a positive legacy, too, but only if it persuades voters and the next government of the importance of a new round of reforms that deal with the economy’s flaws and unleash its mighty potential.

http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21583994-indias-economy-its-tightest-spot-1991-now-then-answer-be-bold-how

Fiscal maths of Economic Emergency. PC flunks. SoniaG, quit politics. MMS, resign.

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Rupee plunge upsets fiscal maths

TNN | Aug 23, 2013, 03.50AM IST

NEW DELHI: The 16.5% fall in the rupee over the last three months has forced oil companies and the government to get back to excel sheets to rework the fiscal arithmetic.

Oil marketing companies are yet to get additional Rs 11,000 crore from the finance ministry that they had sought as the government's share of losses for selling fuel below cost. Between the time the oil ministry made the demand and now the situation has changed drastically as they stare at under recoveries of around Rs 1.5 lakh crore for the full financial year.


But it also means a higher burden for the exchequer. Going by the earlier formula, the government, marketing firms and the exploration companies split the subsidy bill in three equal parts. This would have meant that the burden on the government would have been of the order of Rs 50,000.

But grappling with weaker finances, the retailers are not in a position to take over a third of the liability and the Centre will have to take a larger share of the pie.

Even assuming a Rs 50,000 crore burden for the full year, the government needs to provide more resources as a large part of the Rs 65,000 crore budgeted for as oil subsidy was exhausted clearing last financial year's dues.

Oil apart, the government will also need to provide more for imported urea as the price as it will cost more to ship the fertilizer even if international prices remain unchanged. How much more is required is unclear at the moment.

On Thursday, finance minister P Chidambaram made it clear that he will contain fiscal deficit at 4.8% of GDP. How, he did not elaborate.

Officials in the finance ministry suggested that Chidambaram is banking on a change in the pricing formula for oil products. From a trade parity pricing regime, North Block is keen on a shift to an export parity regime, which will link prices to those in the export market. In the current scheme, the retail price is linked to the price of 80% of the produce to the imported price and assumes that the rest is used domestically. The change in formula has been opposed by state-run retailers who have made it clear that the higher burden will hit investments.What the ministry is also hoping to do is cut expenditure - something it managed to successfully - to ensure that fiscal deficit stays within the Chidambaram rekha of 4.8%.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/Rupee-plunge-upsets-fiscal-maths/articleshow/21990556.cms

PC tries to cap panic

New Delhi, Aug. 22: Finance minister P. Chidambaram tried to soothe the volatile markets today after the rupee tumbled to a new all-time low of 65.66 against the dollar, asserting that there was no reason for excessive pessimism.

“We believe that the rupee is undervalued and has overshot what is generally believed to be a reasonable and appropriate level,” Chidambaram said, echoing what Deutsche Bank economists had said yesterday.

Emerging from a three-hour huddle with RBI governor D. Subbarao and his designated successor, Raghuram Rajan, Chidambaram reassured foreign investors that neither the government nor the central bank had “any intention to introduce any type of capital control, including controls on repatriation”.

He said the recent measures — which slashed annual dollar remittances by resident Indians — would be revisited as soon as stability returned to the markets.

The rupee today closed at 64.55, recovering slightly at the end of another day of skittish trading. Chidambaram said the rupee had been hammered by speculators who were ignoring official statistics and “cooking up their own numbers”.

He said the government had been able to cap the fiscal deficit at 4.9 per cent in 2012-13 and would pare it further to 4.8 per cent of the GDP this year. The current account deficit — which had ballooned to 4.8 per cent of the GDP last year — will be capped at 3.7 per cent, he said.

The rupee has been battered because of fears that the US Federal Reserve would start tapering its $85-billion-a-month bond-buying programme that has funnelled cheap money into emerging markets like India.

RBI governor-designate Rajan is believed to have advised that the central bank defer its mid-quarter monetary policy meeting — slated for September 18 — by a few days to await the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s policy-making Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting that ends the same day.

http://www.telegraphindia.com/1130823/jsp/frontpage/story_17263135.jsp#.Uhb5OtKw2So

How rupee-dollar rates are determined

Rakesh Goyal
Whether currency movements or prices of mangoes, the most important factor determining their price is the same – market forces of demand and supply.
Whether currency movements or prices of mangoes, the most important factor determining their price is the same – market forces of demand and supply.
Ever wondered why the rupee quotes at 53.2 or 50 and not at Rs 20 or Rs 80 to a dollar?
It’s not much different from how the prices of your mangoes are determined, for example. Whether currency movements or prices of mangoes, the most important factor determining their price is the same – market forces of demand and supply.
If the demand for dollars increases, the value of dollar will appreciate. As the quotation for Rs/$ is a two way quote (that is, the price of one dollar is quoted in terms of how much rupees it takes to buy one dollar), an appreciation in the value of dollar would automatically mean a depreciation in Indian rupee and vice-versa.
For example, if rupee depreciates, a dollar which once cost Rs 47 would cost, say, Rs 50. In essence, the value of dollar has risen and the buying power of rupee has gone down.
Besides the primary powers of demand and supply, the rupee-dollar rates are determined by other market forces as well.
Market sentiments
During turbulent markets, investors usually prefer to park their money in safe havens such as US treasuries, Swiss franc, gold and so on to avoid losses to their portfolios. This flight to safety would lead to foreign investors redeeming their investments from India. This could increase the demand for dollar vis-à-vis Indian rupees.
Speculation
There are derivative instruments and over-the-counter currency instruments through which one can speculate/ hedge the underlying currency rates. When speculators sense improvements/ deterioration of the sentiments of the markets, they too want to benefit from such rising/ falling dollar. They then start buying/selling dollar which would further change the demand/ supply of the dollar.
RBI Intervention
When there is too much volatility in the rupee-dollar rates, the RBI prevents the rates from going out of control to protect the domestic economy. The RBI does this by buying dollars when rupee appreciates too much and by selling dollars when the rupee depreciates significantly.
Imports and Exports
Ever give thought as to why our government is trying to incentivise exports and reduce imports? There are a lot of schemes and incentives for exporters while importers are burdened with many conditions and taxes. This is to protect our economy from high rupee depreciation. Importing foreign goods requires us to make payment in dollars thus strengthening the dollar’s demand. Exports do the exact reverse.
Public Debt / Fiscal policy
Whenever our Government fails to match expenses with equivalent revenue, there is a shortage of funds. To finance this, the Government at times opts to borrow money from institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF. This debt, accrued interests, and the payments made, also lead to currency fluctuations.
Interest Rates
The prevailing interest rates on the government bonds attract foreign capital to India. If the rates are high enough to cover the foreign market risk and if the foreign investor is comfortable with the fundamentals or credit ratings, money would start pouring into India and thus provide us with a supply of dollars.
(The writer is Senior Vice President, Bonanza Portfolio Ltd.)

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-wise/how-rupeedollar-rates-are-determined/article4629962.ece

Economic Emergency: Chargesheet against SoniaG in 17 slides. Tasks for next Government.

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Tasks for the next Government.
1. Get the economy back to the state in 1 Common Era (pace Angus Maddison)

2. Step: Form Indian Ocean Community as Rāṣṭram, union of 59 states along Indian Ocean Rim.

Trans-Asian Highway Project of IOC.

Trans-Asian Highways Project
3. Create National Water Grid. Start with Interlinking of rivers as directed by Hon'ble SC. Add 9 crores of additional wet land with assured irrigation in 5 years' time creating an economic multiplier effect.
Restitute illicit wealth of India stashed away in tax havens abroad. Issue an ordinance nationalising this wealth under Directive Principles of State Policy to promote nation's economic health.
The Global financial Integrity – a Non-profit research organization – working in the area of Tax Havens has estimated for India that the present value of illegal financial flows held abroad is $500 Billions. This means that almost three-quarters of the illicit assets comprising India's underground economy—which has been estimated to account for 50 percent of India's GDP (approximately $640 billion at the end of 2008)—ends up outside of the country. This seems to have settled the issue about the volume of the Indian black wealth abroad.
Nationalise these black moneys held abroad which will bring $500 billions into the Indian financial system.

Ban P-Notes. P-Notes are a fictitious route allowing Indians to take Rupees away from India through hawala route and re-route into the stock markets of India. Institute verification of identity of the investors of such bogus instruments.


84-kosi yatra: Forces conduct flag march in Ayodhya, arrest warrants issued against 70 VHP leaders

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84-kosi yatra: Forces conduct flag march in Ayodhya, arrest warrants issued against 70 VHP leaders


84-kosi yatra: Forces conduct flag march in Ayodhya, arrest warrants issued against 70 VHP leaders
The VHP's proposed 84-kosi yatra in Ayodhya, due to start from August 25, has already been banned by the state government.

LUCKNOW/FAIZABAD: Even as security forces on Friday conducted flag march in Ayodhya in view of VHP's 84-kosi yatra, the Faizabad district administration issued arrest warrants against 70VHP leaders. The proposed yatra, due to start from August 25, has already been banned by the state government.

The national, state and local level leaders of the VHP against whom arrest warrants have been issued include its chief Ashok Singhal, Ram Vilas Vedanti and Pravin Togadia. While leaders who have already arrived in Ayodhya are being arrested, entry of others has been banned in the temple town.

Senior officials, led by additional director general of police Arun Kumar, are camping in Faizabad. Several police teams are conducting raids in 'hide-outs' of the leaders in Faizabad and adjoining areas. The police have already detained 20 odd VHP activists but some senior leaders have gone underground.

The VHP leaders, who are adamant to continue with parikrama, have also chalked out a plan to defy security arrangements and reach the venue by August 25 from where the yatra is scheduled to begin. They have announced to carry out yatra at all cost and have dared the SP government to stop them.

Meanwhile, chief minister Akhilesh Yadav has cancelled all his programmes and is said to be monitoring the situation from Lucknow. Senior SP leader and minister Azam Khan said that yatra is aimed to communalise UP'satmosphere in favour of the BJP in the run up to the next year's Lok Sabha elections.

Senior SP leaders also tried to play down the yatra, saying that there is no support for the VHP at the ground level. Security arrangements have been made to stop VHP leaders from disturbing law and order. They also said that the motive of yatra is political and many Hindu seers are opposing it.

5000 years old Egyptian beads of hammered meteoritic iron

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Dear Prof. Rehren,

Congratulations to the team led by you for the magnificent scientific report in the Journal of Archaeological Science.

I have also been studying metalware catalogs of Indus Writing. 

I find that there is a word which describes such iron in Indian sprachbund. The word is aduru.

aduru ‘native, unsmelted metal’ (Kannada) aduru = gaiyinda tegadu karagade iruva aduru = ore taken from the mine and not subjected to melting in a furnace (Ka. Siddhānti Subrahmaya śastri’s New interpretation of the Amarakośa,Bangalore, Vicaradarpana Press, 1872, p. 330) 
Dravidian etyma: Ta. ayil iron. Ma. ayir, ayiram any ore. Ka. aduru native metal. Tu. ajirda karba very hard iron (DEDR 192).

Best regards,

Kalyanaraman

Full text: pdf http://tinyurl.com/k6h2hozArticle in Journal of Archaeological Science xxx(2013) 1-8

5,000 years old Egyptian iron beads made from hammered meteoritic iron 

Thilo Rehrena,*, Tamás Belgya b, Albert Jambonc, György Káli d, Zsolt Kasztovszky b,Zoltán Kis b, Imre Kovács e , Boglárka Maróti b, Marcos Martinón-Torres f,Gianluca Miniacif,g, Vincent C. Pigott a, Miljana Radivojevi cf, László Rosta d,László Szentmiklósi b, Zoltán Szokefalvi-Nagy }

imageAbstract


The earliest known iron artefacts are nine small beads securely dated to circa 3200 BC, from two burials in Gerzeh, northern Egypt. We show that these beads were made from meteoritic iron, and shaped by careful hammering the metal into thin sheets before rolling them into tubes. The study demonstrates the ability of neutron and X-ray methods to determine the nature of the material even after complete corrosion of the iron metal. The iron beads were strung into a necklace together with other exotic minerals such as lapis lazuli, gold and carnelian, revealing the status of meteoritic iron as a special material on a par with precious metal and gem stones. The results confirm that already in the fourth millennium BC metalworkers had mastered the smithing of meteoritic iron, an iron-nickel alloy much harder and more brittle than the more commonly worked copper. This is of wider significance as it demonstrates that metalworkers had already nearly two millennia of experience to hot-work meteoritic iron when iron smelting was introduced. This knowledge was essential for the development of iron smelting, which produced metal in a solid state process and hence depended on this ability in order to replace copper and bronze as the main utilitarian metals.


Graphical abstract

Space Out! Photos of Ancient Artifacts Made from Meteorites

Egyptian Necklaces & Iron Beads

Archaeologists have uncovered ancient artifacts that were made from meteorites that fell to Earth from space. Here are some of the most famous artifacts that originated from the cosmos.

Above, ancient iron beads (center) were excavated from an Egyptian tomb in 1911. The beads were made from iron meteorites. On either side, ancient Egyptian necklaces are displayed, with other exotic materials, such as lapis lazuli and gold, strung together.
Meteorite bead
An analysis of this Gerzeh bead showed it was crafted from a space rock.
Ancient Egyptian Iron Beads
Ancient iron beads were excavated from an Egyptian tomb in 1911. The beads were crafted from iron meteorites, which fell to Earth from space.
Egytian Beads Made from Iron Meteorites
These ancient Egyptian beads were crafted from iron meteorites.
Ancient Egyptian Iron Beads Close-up
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