I almost entirely agree with the Bihar assembly poll electoral analysis by Kanchan Gupta ji, excepting for the title of the note.
The note is addressed to NaMo, NOT to BJP. NaMo, jeevema s'aradah s'atam, may you live a hundred autumns to take this nation of Bharatam to her destiny. You a child, an instrument for unfolding this destiny.
If there is one message from the Bihar result, it is this: kaalaadhan. People will be led back to the Jungle Raj because effective and resolute action was not taken to send kaalaadhanwale to Tihar.
Please re-read the 2015 Vijayadasami message of Mohanji Bhagwat.
The question should be addressed to NaMo who should introspect calmly, like a sthitaprajna which he is.
NaMo, prove me wrong, make Bihar election tally an aberration. Demonstrate to the world that you are a man of action and will ensure restitution of kaalaadhan.
Jandhan yojana is fine, but ensure that MUDRA money reaches tens of crores of young entrepreneurs and a million youth are employed with immediate effect to put in place the National Water Grid which will unite the nation and be an economic multipier effect of unprecedented magnitude. Ensure that the 9 crore acres of additional wetland generated by NWDA is distributed to 9 crore landless families.
Tell the nation firmly and with dedication, I have learnt the lessons the citizens of Bharat have taught me. I will stay humble, continue to the first servant of the nation, dedicated to the cause of dharma, of abhyudayam. I am sorry if I have slipped up, I will correct my mistakes.
Tell the nation that Swarajyam won in May 2014 shall be sustained by resolute action.
Announce National Water Grid Authority.
Announce enforcement of Rule of Law againt kaalaadhanwale and institute prosecutorial teams with IMMEDIATE effect.
Tell the world, that India's destiny will be realised in the constitution of Indian Ocean Community for abhyudayam of over 2 billion people along the Indian Ocean Rim.
Reinforce the resolve, dharmo rakshati rakshitah, dharma protects the protector and this dharma-dhamma inviolate will continue to define the nation's destiny.
All of us mere nimitta matram for loka sangraha, for the world welfare as Gitacharya has pronounced.
I agree with the analysis of Arun Shourie. NaMo, if you listen to any one person, it should be to Arun Shourie. No one is perfect, Arun Shourie may have his own faults, but his ardent nationalism is beyond question. He may have fallen during whatever Thapar interview. But, please, please listen to him carefully. He is a well-wisher of Bharatiya and may sound harsh or bitter, but please listen to him.
First, own up the mistakes. Tell the nation, that NaMo will seriously introspect and ensure course correction with immediate effect.
NaMo routed in Bihar, will he learn any lesson?
What lesson I learn from Kanchan ji, I will explain to help NaMo internalise his own evaluation and come to appropriate course corrections in governance.
Before acting on suggestions about what needs to be done, please browse through some bon mots (good words), some tweets given below. I am sure more pearls of wisdom will come from sincere political, social, cultural and economic analysts.
For e.g. Shrikant Talageri is angry that an opportunity was lost when Pres. Obama made an intemperate comment about India's minorities and NaMo who had an opportunity to refute did NOT.
MRV Will pm reshuffle cabinet, drop dead woods, non performers & corrupt? Need a massive revisit to drawing board.
kalyan97 @narendramodi Churchill won the 2nd world war and got defeated in 1945. NaMo won the 2014 LS poll and got defeated in Bihar Assembly poll.
@narendramodi@Swamy39 A cultural foundation forIndianOcean Community:Sahasralinga,Karnataka,Cambodia Kbal Spean http://ln.is/blogspot.com/oSAF7 ……
everG3 @MRVChennai'CHATUR VARNYAM MAYAA SRISHTAM'India is not a religion based society but jati&varna based society,who understands it better,wins
Rukmini S Phase-wise results of Bihar (as of 6 pm, data source ECI)
Madhu Kishwar 
Kartik Mudgal @madhukishwar BJP actually increased its vote share by a whopping 12%, but when the opposition is united there's just no way to win.
@sgurumurthy@MRVChennai Jungle Raj, 2nd edition, 2015. Rs. 1.65 lakh crore to spend. Jolly good Raj. Bye, bye kaalaadhan restitution.
@vijayvaani RJD+Cong 107 seats, just short of 14 to rule. Jungle Raj!!
@rammadhavbjp When does a leader become a statesman? When his or her vision is remembered by generations. Learn from Gen. Eisenhower.![]()
Paplu Taplu Itni Khushi :')
@narendramodi Gen.Eisenhower evntoday remembered for massive highwaysinter linking of country-Do somethingVERYBIG--say interlinking rivers:!
Sitaram Yechury Nitish ji, Congratulations, well done. Now, for bigger battles. @NitishKumar@cpimspeak
@narendramodi Gen. Eisenhower won the war and as Pres interlinked USA with highways and employed million soldiers. NaMo,NationalWater Grid
@vijayvaani Leadership of the nation should ensure that the Swarajyam won in May 2014 does NOT get dissipated.Bihar poll result aberration
why does the @BJP4India want to be loved at all costs whenever it comes to power? Will someone explain it to me?
As we saw in 2004, BJP cannot win by competing with others on sickularism and cultivating presstitutes.
Why the govt is wrong in supporting prosecution of Swamy for hate speech https://shar.es/15JtJ2 via thenewsminute
Return of Jungle Raj: 70% of MGB winners in #BiharElections have criminal records. http://j.mp/1S9J57b via @MilanV
Indian leaders tend to know everything about everything, but not acquiring professional think tank allows them to make school boy blunders!
Modi cannot win 2019 with twitter support, he needs to take Bjp deep into OBCs and dalits
NaMo should stop being nice to all @narendramodi, there was no need to attend wedding parties of Singhvi
- NaMo doing excellent job on defense corruption and other areas, folks don't lose hope, it's not over yet
- Vijayvaani RetweetedBihar experiment cannot be sustained, this defeat will help if right lessons learned
Tweeted before, Power mocks back when not used, NaMo use it now to destroy enemies
BJP allies Paswan-Manjhi - Kushwaha got only 2-1 -2 seats...Like Sholay : Kitana seat contest kiya?....kitna mila re?
- .@saifizm: The exit polls might predict a khichdi... but the voters are throwing up a clear mandate [across India]. http://www.dailyo.in/politics/bihar-polls-narendra-modi-nitish-kumar-lalu-prasad-hindutva-rss-jdu/story/1/7240.html …
- Indian secularism is without sex, without consummating with Pakistan. It is incomplete without visiting Pakistan.
- Ever saw seculars inviting Bangladesh's liberal writers to India for book releases? Secularism is counter-patriotic.
- Ever saw seculars visiting Dhaka? Indian leaders rejoice with India's enemies, are seen as legitimate by Indians.
- Never forget: Indian leaders feel privileged to share dais with those who launched largest jihad against India 1999.
- #BJPForward A major issue on which BJP is not even speaking up is: women's quota in parliament. Why not at least talk loudly about it?
- #BJPForward BJP lacks presence on social media, unable to articulate its vision (except through Modi). Twitter accounts in Urdu or Tamil?
- #BJPForward If private firms can run airlines, why can't they run trains? BJP must undertake radical reforms in Indian Railways.
- #BJPForward Indian Railways is the face of any government in India. Much work is being done but reform fast and introduce private trains.
- #BJPForward BJP leaders must consider the Sensex in deciding government policies. Modi Govt needs a clear backing of Indian industry.
- #BJPForward Last two Budgets by Modi Govt. were good but cautious. If the third is not BOLD, BJP will certainly lose the 2019 elections.
- #BJPForward The BJP leadership must think of making the quota debate redundant. "Sabka Saath, Saka Vikaas" is distant. Add concrete ideas.
- #BJPForward BJP must tell Indians: We will give guaranteed scholarships to children of ALL BPL card holders of all castes and religions.
- #BJPForward BJP leaders must limit their interviews to Doordarshan and All India Radio. Understand: journalists are political activists.
- #BJPForward BJP must tell Muslims: We will give your daughters mathematics, science and economics from Grade 1, not quota and secularism.
- #BJPForward BJP must address 'minority' issues like insecurity. Ensure radical police reforms and zero tolerance for riots and lawbreakers.
- #BJPForward To be the party of the 21st century, BJP needs to loudly back gay rights. Indian youths are ready. Are you? Abolish #Article377
- #BJPForward BJP needs to get two dozen national spokesperson who should come from media and party. A spokesperson as a subject specialist.
- #BJPForward For BJP to show inclusiveness as core principle, it needs at least 50% women among top 100 leaders. Let it be a women's party.
- #BJPForward BJP needs to be run by a collegium of politicians where decision is arrived from below, after thorough discussion.
- #BJPForward After Modi took over in 2014, BJP emerged as a nationwide party. It is the only nationwide party in India. Be more inclusive.
BJP routed in Bihar, will it learn any lesson?
Last Updated: Sunday, 8 November 2015 10:33 PM | By:Kanchan Gupta
The BJP has suffered a crushing defeat in the Bihar Assembly election. There is no other way to describe Sunday’s verdict. The BJP’s electoral failure in Delhi was bad. In Bihar it is an unmitigated disaster.
The BJP could seek solace in the tired dictum that elections come and go but parties remain. Nor is any purpose served in rationalising the defeat in Bihar by arguing no party can win every election.
For good reason the BJP had heavily invested in winning this election. A victory for the BJP would have had a three-fold impact:
First, it would have strengthened Prime Minister Narendra Modi politically. Apart from fetching the party seats in the Rajya Sabha, where the NDA Government is hobbled by its lack of numbers, it would have helped reassert that the Prime Minister still remains toweringly popular.
Second, it would have reaffirmed Amit Shah’s credentials as an astute election strategist and made him an unassailable party boss. His effort to enrol millions of primary members to make the BJP the world’s largest party would not have seemed as a meaningless exercise.
Third, it would have set the tone for coming Assembly elections, especially in Assam and, later, in Uttar Pradesh.
A cadre high on the stupendous victory of 2014 and in subsequent Assembly elections, barring in Delhi, needs to be constantly charged. The party needs to be seen as unbeatable.Hence the Prime Minister led the battle of Bihar from the front, addressing as many as 30 rallies, aggressively campaigning against the incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and his Maha Gatbandhan.
He directed much of his firepower at Lalu Prasad Yadav and his RJD.In the event, all that effort went to waste. The people of Bihar have reposed their faith in Nitish Kumar while giving Lalu Prasad Yadav 80 of the 100 sears RJD contested, more than the JDU’s 73 out of 100.
The BJP may have got a higher vote share of 24.8 per cent, compared to the RJD’s 18.5 per cent and the RJD’s 16.7 per cent. It has also got more votes than previously. But these are at best footnotes of this election’s outcome.
At the end of the day, people have voted their caste, kith and community. They have rejected the development agenda proffered by Narendra Modi, electing to stay with the unimpressive track record of Nitish Kumar and resurrecting the spectre of the Jungle Raj of the Lalu Years.
They have glossed over corruption though much is made of it by all and sundry. Or else a convicted criminal held guilty of mammoth corruption and disqualified from contesting elections would not have been able to emerge as the power behind the throne.
Putting it bluntly, caste rules the roost in Bihar. Whoever can stitch up a critical mass of caste support and couple it with the State’s Muslim vote can romp home in a bipolar contest. In 2014 BJP succeeded despite the odds stacked against it on the caste front because JDU and RJD contested separately.
But that does not explain why the BJP’s allies — LJP, RLSP and HAM — stumbled and fell, failing to win the support of the Paswan, Koeri and Mahadalit voters, leave alone transfer them to BJP. Nor does it explain why the BJP witnessed the desertion of forward caste voters or urban areas rejecting the party.
So, what are the key takeaways from this poll? Here is a quick list.
A stridently negative campaign, including personal attacks, does not deliver votes when there is no particular angst against the incumbent Chief Minister. If ‘bad naseeb’ generated sympathy and support for Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi, ‘DNA’ not only did that for Nitish Kumar but also served to create an umbrella Bihari coalition. Nitish Kumar turned it further to his advantage with his “Bihari versus Bahari” slogan.
Second, Narendra Modi’s development narrative is losing traction. One-and-a-half years after storming to power with the slogan of “Achche Din”, Modi Sarkar is yet to show visible delivery. Poor expectation management has made impatient voters reluctant to wait any longer. Worse, the Government has no plausible explanation as to why it has failed so miserably in holding the food price line. Dal is an example. Citing CPI statistics does not cut ice with voters who are yet to experience deflation.
Third, equally inexplicable is why Modi Sarkar is still dragging its feet on kickstarting the investment cycle through big ticket public spending on visible infrastructure projects that can rapidly generate jobs and revive the core sector’s growth. Make in India is fine, but it’s tangential to voter interest unless jobs are on offer. It would be instructive to inquire as to why Jan Dhan Yojana, a flagship scheme, has not excited popular imagination.
Fourth, ‘Packages’ should be well thought through. Packaging existing or assured payouts as a ‘special package’ is self-defeating. And, making an exhibition and a spectacle of announcing the package, as Narendra Modi did, likely displeases voters at large, more so when they are repeatedly told, as they were by Nitish Kumar, that this is akin to an auctioneer putting the dignity of a State under the hammer. If ‘Gujarati asmita’ can help defeat the Congress in Gujarat, so can ‘Bihari gaurav’ help defeat the BJP in Bihar.
Fifth, Narendra Modi’s own popularity remains sky high but his famous ability to connect with the masses has begun to flag. Yes, there were massive crowds at his rallies. But on polling day those crowds voted for others. We can only assume Narendra Modi was unable to convince them to vote BJP. Why is it so? Is he facing a perception problem? Is the charge that he is more interested in his foreign travels and in collecting accolades abroad than in minding affairs at home beginning to stick? Is ‘Mann ki Baat’ more hyped than real in its impact? Is the messenger still loved but his message increasingly ignored?
As I said, this is a quick brief list. The BJP would do well to look into these and other issues that could possibly explain Sunday’s major setback for the party, more so for Narendra Modi and his governance agenda. Pretending there has been no setback is plain silly, though flatterers and chatterers may yet convince the BJP leadership that Bihar was not a debilitating, dispiriting rout, and that there’s nothing to worry.
And therein lies the reason why Modi Sarkar is now being seen, even by its ardent supporters, as dangerously close to running the risk of losing the plot. http://www.abplive.in/blog/bjp-routed-in-bihar-will-it-learn-any-lesson
Modi, Shah and Jaitley responsible for Bihar debacle: Shourie
By: PTI | Last Updated: Sunday, 8 November 2015 9:08 PM New Delhi: Former Union Minister Arun Shourie on Sunday said Narendra Modi, Amit Shah and Arun Jaitley should be held accountable for BJP’s loss in Bihar elections and predicted that the “silent non-cooperation movement” in the party against the leadership will now deepen.
He said a “Modi-centric” campaign “lacked credibility” because of the unkept promises of the past and blamed BJP’s
“divisive tactics” for the drubbing. Shourie, a minister in the Vajpayee government, who is no longer with the party, accused Shah and Jaitley of “fomenting” a coalition against Modi by forcing the other opposition parties, which commanding over 69 per cent of vote, to get into an alliance.
“divisive tactics” for the drubbing. Shourie, a minister in the Vajpayee government, who is no longer with the party, accused Shah and Jaitley of “fomenting” a coalition against Modi by forcing the other opposition parties, which commanding over 69 per cent of vote, to get into an alliance.
He said that the BJP came to power at the height of Modi’s popularity with merely 31 per cent votes.”It is Modi, the master strategist (Shah) and Jaitley,” he said when asked who should be held responsible for the defeat. “There is no fourth person in the party or the government.”
Asked what went wrong with the party’s Bihar campaign, he said, “everything”.Elaborating his comments, he said “a Modi-centric campaign, a divisive campaign and the campaign lacked credibility as promises of the past have not been kept”.
In this context, he referred to Modi’s claim during Lok Sabha poll campaign that everybody will get Rs 15 lakh with the amount of black money he would bring to India if he was voted to power.
And then their party president said it was a ‘jumla’, so people will obviously not take you seriously when you make new promises, he added.
Asked about the implications of the loss for the party and the government, he said, “The silent non-cooperation
movement against them (Modi, Shah, Jaitley) will deepen. In the government, bureaucracy will also not be forthcoming.” Once an avid supporter of Modi, Shourie has turned a sharp critic of his government and the party.
And then their party president said it was a ‘jumla’, so people will obviously not take you seriously when you make new promises, he added.
Asked about the implications of the loss for the party and the government, he said, “The silent non-cooperation
movement against them (Modi, Shah, Jaitley) will deepen. In the government, bureaucracy will also not be forthcoming.” Once an avid supporter of Modi, Shourie has turned a sharp critic of his government and the party.