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Anyone but Modi - Congress strategy. Voter says, its the economy, stupid. AAP not so aam -- Madhav Nalapat

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Congress chalks out anyone but Modi strategy
A Strategy Group is working on a plan ‘to ensure that the BJP tally falls below 175’ in the elections.
MADHAV NALAPAT  New Delhi | 4th Jan 2014
secretive "Congress Strategy Group" has been set up by Rahul Gandhi to ensure that the next government will either be Congress-led or Congress-supported, thereby excluding a Bharatiya Janata Party-led coalition with Narendra Modi as Prime Minister.
This group is "mining its contacts within the investigative agencies, friendly BJP sources and others, to secure information on corruption indulged in by BJP office-bearers", according to an associate of the group. The source added that the Delhi result showed that "the BJP is as vulnerable as Congress on the issue of corruption". In such a context, he saw "much merit" in the Aam Aadmi Party's contention that there was no difference between BJP and Congress on the corruption issue. He revealed that in Delhi "a whispering campaign was set loose (with information supplied by a BJP faction) reminding voters that (BJP chief ministerial nominee till the month before polling) Vijay Goel had been removed from the Vajpayee Council of Ministers (allegedly) because of doubts over his conduct". He added that "we have evidence that the facts relating to Goel were well known to Rajnath Singh" but that the BJP president as well as his predecessor Nitin Gadkari "were backing Goel 100%". A month before the polls, BJP Prime Ministerial nominee Narendra Modi intervened to replace Goel with Harsh Vardhan, but this was "too late as voter preferences had hardened".
A "number cruncher" for the secret Strategy Group claimed that "as many as 16 BJP tickets were given on the basis of extraneous considerations, including family ties to senior leaders as well as the giving of consideration for securing a ticket". "All but one of such candidates lost, thereby keeping the BJP from getting the four-state sweep that Narendra Modi was aiming at," he said.
These sources claimed that "in the case of several poor choices for candidates in Delhi, the local cadre was less than enthusiastic about ensuring their victory, so that nearly two dozen seats were lost by small margins".
BJP office-bearers have denied that any ticket was given on "extraneous considerations", and claimed that efforts were made to ensure "a balanced and principled list of candidates".
"We lost a tactical battle, in Delhi, but have paved the way for a strategic victory in 2014 (by keeping the BJP out of government at the Centre)," the Congress strategist claimed. He added that "the BJP is vulnerable on the issue of corruption in several states, and we will ensure that these facts become known to the voter."
He pointed to both Nitin Gadkari as well as Rajnath Singh as leaders who were "approachable" and, therefore, vulnerable. "Remember how the honest Babulal Marandi was replaced on a flimsy charge by the BJP leadership as Jharkhand Chief Minister by Arjun Munda after less than two years," the associate pointed out, adding that the latter "obliged several top BJP leaders by giving concessions to their nominees". "In Himachal Pradesh, a vigilance inquiry is ongoing about transactions which took place under P.K. Dhumal, and the facts about this will soon be made public." He claimed that HP CM Virbhadra Singh was being "hounded" by the BJP "because he refused to call off the (Dhumal) probe. However, Virbhadra is no match for certain BJP leaders when it comes to managing media perceptions."
The number cruncher added that "facts are being collated on B.S. Yeddyurappa as well as on two current BJP Chief Ministers" that will "soon become public".
Aware of the anti-Congress sentiment building up across the country, the Strategy Group is working on a plan "to ensure that the BJP tally falls below 175" and to "create a negativism about Narendra Modi so that he will need to cross 220 seats to come as PM. If the BJP tally falls below 220 but above 175, the party will have to offer a PM choice other than Modi."
The source did not respond when asked whether Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's jibe at the Gujarat CM was part of this strategy of seeking to de-legitimise Modi. "The best case scenario is a repeat of 2004, where we (the Congress) can head a government supported by the Left and regional parties wary of the BJP", while the "default position is a Third Front government backed by the Congress Party from outside", and which may include the Left parties.
"The intention is to keep Modi out of 7 Race Course Road" and the path to this, according to these sources, is "to bring out more and more facts about corruption by BJP office-bearers, so that the huge anti-corruption vote in the cities moves away from Modi".
The strategist added that "soon after Rahul Gandhi is announced as Prime Ministerial candidate, the guns will start blazing", in that charge after charge against BJP leaders will get levelled "not only by the Congress party but by activist groups and others to whom information is being supplied".

http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/congress-chalks-out-anyone-but-modi-strategy

MADHAV NALAPAT
ROOTS OF POWER
Economy, not corruption, is the voter’s prime concern
Very few genuine aam aadmis are there in higher echelons of AAP. A former IRS officer of Kejriwal’s seniority cannot pass himself off as just your man in the street.
Arvind Kejriwal talks with AAP leader Manish Sisodia during the confidence vote in Delhi Assembly on Thursday. PTI
orruption was never the prime concern of the voter, until he understood the correlation between his own miserable state and the extent of graft among politicians and officials. In the just-concluded state Assembly polls, in at least four of the states, citizens punished or rewarded Chief Ministers based on perceptions of graft. Even after the defeat of the DMK in the last Assembly polls in Tamil Nadu, the majority of those within the political class believe that the gifting of sops is the way to high office. They forget that in Tamil Nadu, the voter compared the pennies thrown in their direction by the Karunanidhi family with the hoards of gold ducats stashed away by the family and its friends. After the Delhi poll results, it would appear from his rush towards freebies that Arvind Kejriwal believes that it was the promise of cheap power and free water which got him his chair. The reality is that it was neither, but the impression of integrity conveyed by the men and women of the Aam Aadmi Party. Should the Kejriwal family, or those close to other ministers, suddenly begin to sport a lifestyle far more opulent than what their neighbours have witnessed thus far, it will not be long before the AAP begins to lose traction among the voters, no matter the quantum of freebies dished out by its government in Delhi. If Manmohan Singh has become an object of ridicule these days, it is because of the stench of graft that has clung to him ever since the 2010 Commonwealth Games scam exploded onto television screens. And if Narendra Modi is still far and away the most popular politician in the country, it is not because of the colourful kurtas he wears, but the belief that he runs a clean government.
These days, now that cable television has become ubiquitous, aspiration levels have risen to heights never seen before. Even those at the lower levels of income dream of a future where they ride not a bicycle but a car. If the Tata Nano has failed to click to the extent the genius of its conception merits, it is because of the perception that it is the only car that is not a prosperous man's vehicle but that of the common man, a category few want to remain in, despite Arvind Kejriwal's new job. Ensuring a minimum wage or a beyond-subsistence level of food consumption even to the poorest ought not to be with an eye on votes, but on grounds of justice and equity. Each beggar on the streets, each farmer suicide, each child dying of malnutrition, is yet another reason why ministers and officials across the country ought to be ashamed rather than arrogant. It was not because he liked the sensation of fresh air on his chest that Mahatma Gandhi went bare-bodied, but because he knew that the way to bond with the people was to dress the way they were forced to, and to travel the way they did, in third class compartments rather than in railway saloon cars. Besides the perception that they are — still — honest, another reason why so many gave the AAP a chance was because the lifestyle of its most visible mascot, Arvind Kejriwal, resembled that of the average citizen far more than the magnificence with which the topmost leaders of both the Congress and the BJP live in Delhi, with their chartered aircraft and the BMWs and Audis they zip around the city in.
Of course, now that so many millionaires and MNC executives are flocking to the AAP, there may be a dilution in the belief that the AAP is truly "aam", for after all, there were — even in its pre-millionaire days — very few genuine aam aadmis in the higher echelons of the AAP. For instance, Prashant Bhushan can be called many things, such as a superb legal brain or a dogged campaigner, but being an aam aadmi is not one of them. Neither can a former Indian Revenue Service officer of the seniority of Kejriwal pass himself off as just your man in the street. Every movement sees a huge accretion to its ranks once success is achieved, which explains the stampede to join the BJP by retired home secretaries passed over for gubernatorial posts, and by others who failed to meet the UPA's criteria for higher office. Now that the Delhi Secretariat has been won, some of such birds of convenience are now seeking nests within the AAP. Hopefully, at least a few of them will fulfil their desire to "serve the people" by being made ministers, governors and sundry office-holders of Red Light rank.
The coming general election is likely to be decided on the basis of just which party or alliance is seen as offering the best economic choice. Not for the voter Manmohan Singh's excuse of international exigencies rather than non-performance being the cause of its failure. Despite the reams of comment about the Kejriwal Effect on Narendra Modi's chances, the fact is that it is still the Gujarat strongman who has the upper hand in the arena of public perception. That is, if he can convince a public sceptical of all major political parties that he has truly "Modified" the BJP.

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